Busted flush draw OOP, NL MTT

DailyHandQuiz

Game type: $109 freezeout, PokerStars
Stage of tourney: Mid stages
Your image: Aggressive
Opponent’s image: No strong read
Your hand: 7♠4♠

The setup: Your stack is shrinking when the following hand comes up: You see a free flop from the BB when two players limp and hit a small flush draw:

Q♥A♠2♠

The flop checks around. The turn pairs the board with the Q♦ and the SB checks. You bet 200; the limper calls and the SB exits. You miss your flush when the 6♦ falls.

Do you bet again?

Loading ...

4 COMMENTS (Jump to comment form)

Rogier

Most probably the limper has a Q or A. We got nothing. Chance of winning is 0% since we didn’t raise pre-flop the opponent probably knows we got nothing to show for.

I would check and fold against any raise.

[Reply]

Major Dude

If we had a tighter image, this has some decent bluff potential. Bet 500 and hope to fold out any busted straight draw (KJ or KT), as well as a better failed flush (Kx), and a PP that didn’t take us seriously the first time (55,88, etc.) Obviously we’re not going to scare away an Ax or a Qx, which are his most likely hands. We need to win about 40% of the time to make this worthwhile. (Pot odds plus an adjustment for risk-of-ruin issues.)

Here, our slutty image hurts us. Villain has enough chips that he can look us up with a PP if we bet small. There’s a good chance he puts us on a paired deuce, 33 or something scuzzy, if he thinks we even have anything. We can’t totally rule out a spite call. If we bet big to prevent that from happening, we’re in grave trouble if Villain has Ax or Qx.

Give up and wait for a better situation.

[Reply]

Pirate21 Reply:
April 12th, 2011 at 8:40 am

Combination of agg image, being out-chipped 2:1, and being OOP make this bluff a pretty tough sell.

[Reply]

Robert

Give up the hand, 6 of diamonds didn’t complete any realistic (straight or flush)draws. It’s a bad board to bluff at, plus we have no strong read on V. V will pretty much call any light value bet, and it’s not worthwhile for the hero to commit 25% of his stack or more to bluff. easy check fold with our stack size.

[Reply]