
Game type: $109 2R 1a PokerStars
Stage of tourney: Rebuy period closed
Your image: Active
Opponent’s image: No strong read
Your hand: A♠Q♥
The setup: You’ve been playing quite a few pots the last couple of orbits when the following hand comes up. You get AQ in EP; UTG raises to 2x and you call. A MP player calls and the BB calls. You flop a spade draw:
2♠5♠K♠
The BB and UTG check. What’s your play?
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Gonna check call here to let the person in position leads out. It’s likely that BB and UTG whipped or have a weak pair. Betting out of position here will chase out anything worse than top pair. We have about 50% of the chance to hit the flush and win a huge pot. Also check call will disguise the hand, we can still make the call even if someone has a set and shoves.
[Reply]
Anonymous Reply:
April 6th, 2011 at 2:34 pm
since when are you even close to 50% to hit the flush off the flop?
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I would check.
We have a nut-flush draw which has a 9 out of 47 draw. This is the same as 19%change on the first draw and if it does not turn out to be a clubs a 20% chance. Besides the clubs, an A would give us another 6% chance to win with a high pair.
If the apponement would raise, I would probably call him.
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you want to take down the pot now. it’s not likely that anyone flopped the flush but they could still have a hand. if you overbet you’re likely to win the pot with just ace high but if you get called you still have a chance to hit that spade. the semibluff is a powerful move especially 4 handed.
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bet half the pot. Here villains unlikely have a hand that they are absolutely comfortable with. We may win the pot right now and also build a bigger pot if called and spade on turn.
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Check (call) for pot control.
Hero has active image, so against multiple opponents a lead will likely get called. It is unlikely (1 in 4) a spade or Ace will drop on the turn, thus being oop will force us to bet again. Checking the turn will indicate to the opponents that Hero is drawing.
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Like the new page format.
We are not last to act. Glad to see some things did not change.
I check here hoping that E takes a stab at it (and then I actually will be last to act). I also want bb and A to come along for the ride so I have the right price to call because no way am I folding here. I might crai but probably just call for pot control as already mentioned.
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bet (just like you would with a flush or set). early players would nearly always bet non nut flushes. stacks are deep they want to build and protect. since u hold As if they have the flush, must be non nut. they would also usually bet sets. your call early, verse utg raiser and caller pre, shows some strength and when combined with the flop bet u look strong to max fold equity. button was getting a great price and could have anything, usually a mid to small pair which they will fold given ur apparently strong bet into a multiway pot v early raisers with a player behind. if the button raises u see 10J/JQ spades and 555/222 a lot which is unfortunate but u can re assess from there. he’s m15 which will be awkward, getting m 15 in with possible 28-30% equity is never super. you might be looking at calling another 10k to win 17k so its gonna prob be a fold in this unlikely event but he aint jamming Kjs or Kqs, top pair flush draw unless he s down syndrome so u must be drawing thin. the M15 has the good point that he cant really raise bluff (although this would be unlikely anyway) coz he d be getting almost 40% of his stack in in the process if u bet say 2k on the flop and he made it 5. if early stacks get sticky with ak / kq / kj seal the deal with barrels. u have ace blocker so AK unlikely unless it’s utg (2nd prob reraise pre with it). checking is for the kiddies
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We need to take charge of this hand. I’d bet around 1/2 pot and find out who’s coming along. We can see a lot of random Kings coming along as well as smaller flush draws, PPs and made flushes.
We’re looking at between 9 and 15 outs most of the time, which gives us around 40-60% chance of drawing to the best hand (and we may be ahead already).
I want to bet in order to:
a) take down the pot now
b) build the pot now for when we hit the flush since another spade will kill most action
[Reply]
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