Bottom two with multiway action, NL MTT

Game type: 20+2 MTT
Your image: Tight
Stage of tourney: Middle Stages
Avg stack: about 10,000
Misc notes: Player H hasn’t entered a pot in about 3 orbits
Your hand: 2♣7♥

Preflop: Player A limps UTG, and the table folds around to Player H who limps, SB limps and you check your option in the BB. The flop hits you hard with

J♥2♠7♦

Flop: SB checks, you lead out for 800. Player A raises to 2200 and then Player H comes over the top all-in for 27810. SB folds and the action’s back to you:

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11 COMMENTS (Jump to comment form)

Waste_Of_Paint

Call, chuckle when player A calls with his AA limp/fail and player H shows his lone top pair, then punch the screen when the board reels off two 4s or something.

Seriously, folding here is absurd. Sure, the tight button might have 22 or 77 but it’s a tiny part of his range. Given his image he doesn’t have a better two pair. And if he did flop a set, I’m not sure he’d play it so strong on such a dry flop. Seems more likely he has a jack with a good kicker, doesn’t want to fold it and given the stack sizes just puts us and player A all in.

It really looks like player A has either AJ or a failed big pair limp. We’ve got half the average stack and need a double-up – this looks like a perfect opportunity for a triple-up to me. Ship it.

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T Reply:
February 16th, 2011 at 4:05 am

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Pirate21 Reply:
February 16th, 2011 at 8:46 am

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Groundhog day

Before calling, type “nice slow play” in chat window in anticipation of the afore-mentioned aces. Fist pump call.

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Aces n Eights Reply:
February 16th, 2011 at 5:44 am

LOL – except Stars locks out chat when a player is AI (sigh)

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Nelson

Been in situations too many times (especially online) where I prematurely fist pump when they both have a Jack and then I punch the screen when one of them counterfits me by the river. Oh well – even though that’s looking at the glass half empty, easy call and with luck on our side, nice triple up.

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Major Dude Reply:
February 16th, 2011 at 12:18 pm

+1 on all the analysis.

I ran a simulation on twodimes.net of what happens if one opponent has AJ and the other has KK/QQ.

We win 65.8%
AJ wins 19.7%
The overpair wins 14.5%

Easy call. No way to eliminate the stress of dodging other people’s outs — but these are the situations that ultimately win tournaments.

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John

Or fold. Player A is holding JJ, while H is hard to tell, player A is an otherwise cautious player but saw the jack and the low 2,7 as a window of oppurtunity for a solid raise. Will probably call the all-in afterwards. Even pocket 7s or 2s beat you in this hand.

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Groundhog day Reply:
February 16th, 2011 at 2:39 pm

Why would player A raise with the nuts and no draw? I know bottom 2 pair isn’t guaranteed by any stretch but seriously.

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Marty

I’m just surprised the votes don’t reflect 100% call…. we’re only behind to:

JJ (unlikely given one on board and unraised preflop)
22 (v unlikely given we have one and one on board)
77 (v unlikely given we have one and one on board)
J7 (unlikely for A as UTG…)
J2 (unlikely for A as UTG…)

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duhhhh

Call ftw.

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