Full house on river, NL cash

Game type: $400 NL
Your image: You sat down a couple of minutes ago
Your hand: 5♥5♠

Preflop: Player A limps, you limp with your 55, Player C limps and Player D makes it 10 to go. Player A folds, you and Player C both call. Flop gives you middle set:

K♦5♣3♦

Flop: You decide to lead out for $35 and both players call. Turn is J♥.

Turn: You lead for $120 now and again both players call. River brings the J♦.

What’s your play here?

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8 COMMENTS (Jump to comment form)

Waste_Of_Paint

Well, we are not going to fold to a bet, and we don’t want flushes and kings to check behind. So this is a clear bet to me, all in. We are probably way ahead, and if we’ve been runner-runnered by KJ then we’re going to have to call anyway.

If one of them has made the nut flush then I don’t think they’ll be able to fold it for the price on offer having drawn at it both flop and turn. The paired board is a scare card for them though so we may well miss out on value by checking. Might even get paid of by AK.

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T Reply:
January 20th, 2011 at 3:24 am

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General Johnson Jameson

our all in is only ~200 into 500. So its not like we need to worry folding anyone out . Should get called by any strong hand. Even though it may be obvious what we have since the flush and trip jacks got there and we don’t care. One of them has to have the flush I don’t know what these dopes are calling with otherwise. Full house decisions are the easiest cuz you can’t fold them and you have to play as if quads don’t exist.

Arrr-in

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Aces n Eights

I think this is pretty much a no-brainer AI. Like General said – given the SS you ain’t folding a strong hand out so why risk missing $$ on the river by going for a CR. The result will be the same.

So what if the stacks were larger? Add $1K to everyone’s stack. Now what would you do? Check or Bet? (How much?)

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Pirate21 Reply:
January 20th, 2011 at 1:58 pm

I’d still bet for the same reasons but it does change the scenario.
Now we have three options – get an opponent to call an over, bait them into raising us, or check and hope they bet behind. This probably depends a lot more on having good reads but I’ll lean more towards a modest bet (say around half pot) to induce a raise.
With larger stacks, I do think it’s more likely one or both opponents bets behind if we check, but I also think that once we c/r we’re less likely to get called.
On the other hand, if we bet and get raised we end up getting two bets for sure and may still get a call of our reraise.
Betting big has too much risk of folding someone out and losing value.

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Kid

If somebody lays down a flush here I’m going to bet bet ship against that guy every hand.

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John Kugelman

This isn’t much of a question. We have a half pot sized bet left. We set up a river shove perfectly, so now let’s do just that. There’s no good reason to do anything else.

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Pirate21

This really couldn’t have played out much better for us.
The hands that aren’t calling our AI bet are the same hands that would check behind. Get it in and hope they both hit something. I fully expect at least one has a flush.

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