Daily Hand Quiz

I like a check call here. Opp may be suspicious as a 9 is in our range, but Im going to rep a scared ace, which has to be believable given the action. Prob lead the river like a blocking bet, maybe I get a raise at that point from him, either way, Ill def get a call from anything that wouldve called a check raise here.

leading now represents the 9, unless we had history of bluffing these situations, theres no reason to do that.

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I voted check-call. Unless they have an ace, I think a lead may scare-off the V. If they do, V likely will bet here or call a river lead. Even if they don’t have an ace, Hero may get a call from a pp on the river, as our post-flop line has not been that strong.

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Check-call it is.

This time we’ve got a read on the opponent and our own image to manipulate – which helps make it a better-defined quiz. Villain likes to move chips around. Give him the chance.

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I like check calling and leading the river. We’re more likely to get two more bets from the villain with that line than by check/raising the turn. That makes it too easy for him to make the right decision and fold an ace.

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well no matter what we are so strong now we have to check. the real question now is the river. if he has an ace the best thing we could hope for is like a K or Q cuz then all aces are likely chopping. in this case we could bet that pretty hard cuz it looks like were free rolling trying to move him off a chop.

now if the river is a miss most likely then what. in addition to scared aces it also looks like a scared TT-KK trying to get cheap show down. if we bet we eliminate this range which leaves us as a 9 or very strong ace. and i really dont think he can call too much of his range against that strength. i think our best shot is to check the river and let him keep running. he is way more likely to fire against our scared range than call against our strong narrow range.

check call and check call again unless a Q or K hits then i bet almost the pot. in fact i might even overbet there. otherwise we are too strong to bet and hes not enough to call tge moment we narrow our range. hope he fires a third.

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Jeff Reply:
December 15th, 2010 at 11:35 pm

On the river:

In terms of EV, do you think he’s more likely to call a PSB lead than he is to raise a timid looking 100k?
If we’re TT-KK looking for cheap showdown, I dont think we fire over 1/5 of our stack. Plus his 1.3 can look menacing.

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general johnson jameson Reply:
December 16th, 2010 at 1:53 am

re read it. i said the only way we lead is if a Q or K hits the river cuz then all aces are most likely chopping and he will be very likely to call since hes only then losing to AQ or AK and those are almost impossible for us to have here for how passive we played it. a TAG would never do it this way. thus if he has an ace he will be very to call what looks to be a hefty steal attempt.

any other river we check. betting only polarizes us to a 9 or super strong ace for this story line and judging his timid bet sizes theres no way he is strong enough to call our top end narrow range. thus if we check we keep a very wide weak range aces up is ahead of and ges much more likely to bet than call. sometimes they bet sometimes they dont. but we gotta give them a shot

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I’ll almost never check it here, IMHO it’s the worst option. I want to get the money in on the turn if I have the best hand. You got the goods now start building the pot. This may confuse villain as we just checked the flop. He either thinks this is a bluff and comes over the top (Yesss)or folds weak Ax. It’s possible he flats, but this is weak play & unlikely at this stage of the tournament. His weak bet on the flop smells more of a std continuation bet with a weak Ace. I’m betting & hoping I can shove it here. Then I’m pouring an ice cold Beck’s into a frosted mug with a big fat smile.

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I agree check/call is best.

But if v has the A, which seems likely, he is definitely worried about the 9.
Since we are late in the tourney and he has only recently been noticeably active, I’m not pegging him as a careless player in any way. It’s very possible he checks back even with the A.

Whatever villain does on the turn though, we have to bet the river.

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