Daily Hand Quiz

He’s saying he wants to rock and roll. Every chance he has had to act he has wanted to put more money in. If we call, he is only going to get 1 more chance to do it. If we raise, he will get 2 chances. Whatever he has, he is convinced he has the nuts, so let him believe it. In this moment, he thinks he has the best of it, so this would be the perfect time to let him stick it all in.

My only worry is that if we just call, and we bet the river, he may fold. And if we check it, we are gambling huge that he will bet again for us after all of the resistance. Not only that, but if he has AKd, right now is the only chance we have to get more cash out of him, once the river comes out then he has nothing left to shoot for, and he will probably either check, or fold to our bet. Right now he has all the outs in the world, so lets let him have another chance to raise. This is speculating he has AKd, more likely he has some kind of AA, AK, or maybe KQd, something like that. If he has AK, the last thing he will put us on is KK, Maybe he has 88. God that would be a sick deck.

Raise him. Our impossible to identify hand mixed with our loose image are going to get us paid off huge here. He is convinced he has the nuts at this moment, so give him another chance to flex it. Calling is too passive, and it could put a bucket of water over our hot villain when he has no more cards to pay to see. Also, we are put into a goofy spot on the river by calling.. surely we have to bet, we have no guarantee that he will if we check after all the resistance. Raise it to like, 550. He cannot fold, and I’d expect it all to be coming over the top. Even if he just calls, it sets us up for an all-in on the river, which will give him like 3:1 to call, on top of it, will look like a move we have to make regardless of our hand being pot committed. An all-in on the turn possibly could freak him out, but like I said, our image with our impossible hand is going to get us rich. Even if he’s just pushing hard on a diamond draw, 2 of them are no good.

Raise, but not too high. He has the nuts. Let him run again. This might be our last chance to get all of his money while he still has the diamonds to salivate over. Because when the draw busts, his single pair isn’t going to feel too hot after all the resistance, but knowing he has lots of back up right now, means he is willing to go broke, once that back up goes away on the river he will no longer wanna fight. So we have to cash in right here on the turn. Its like this guy just rolled doubles and landed on our hotel, but doesn’t know we even have the deed. Thank you for staying at Marvin Gardens sir. lolz.

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Voted call but am now in the raise camp. V might be bluffing here and fold to a raise but I am not willing to check the river so this is best chance to get mo money.

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Wretch Reply:
November 10th, 2010 at 2:42 pm

Why would you check the river in position?

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general johnson jameson Reply:
November 10th, 2010 at 4:37 pm

we are the BB

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Hero has the best hand so I’d raise for value. Hero stack makes the raise-sizing a bit tricky. I’d lean toward a 2.5x, ~$500, which would price-out all draws except for QdJd. This size would also leave room for a river value bet.

RAI would likely fold-out hands Hero wants action from. Obviously snap-call if they come over the top. Given loose image and turn 3-bet, I think a river lead is appropriate even if danger cards – diamonds and broadway – hit.

Calling may leave some value on the table. I think the V range would include diamonds, A10, QQ-, and broadway cards. If they have only a pair, or a missed draw it is unlikely we will be able to extract anything more on the river. Perhaps JJ+ would call a thin value bet on a blank river.

On the other hand, calling may indicate that Hero is on the draw with a likelihood of missing. If we check a blank river, that will surely induce a bet from a strong opponent. Still I’d opt to 3-bet now, hoping to obtain more info from a PF open-raiser. The pot is nice, about ½ of our stack, and happy to take it down.

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Raise.
- He’s calling as much or more now than he will if he doesn’t improve on the river.
- V could still be on some sort of draw in which case we want to charge him extra to see it.
- We want all the chips in the middle on this hand. Raising now gives us our best opportunity for that.

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obvious raise. hes dying to get more in and we have the nuts. the only question is whats the best way to do it. a raise to about 500 or 550 seems more likely to get called, but you also risk losing value if he doesnt improve on the river and smartens up. the other thing is, if hes a strong regular, he has to know hes committing himself and we are probably going to shove the river regardless of what drops. if hes going to call the raise here, he’d probably call a shove.

i think he’s ready to call the shove and i want it all in now while he thinks he either has the best of it or may improve.

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