Daily Hand Quiz

fold, your up against a set of sixes and he’s hoping to milk your stack. he called your big re-raise and his bet amount on the turn is screaming “suck bet!” it’s early and you still have some time to build your stack. you know what they say about pocket jacks anyway!

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Wasn’t this quiz posted a few eeks ago?
Hmmm.. Flatting jacks there is an option, but i would prob raise it there 70% of the time, just to find out where i am. As played, I’d fold ‘em, and feeling good about the fold. Why would one gor crazy w/ a hand, that does not have us beat this early in the tournament? Plenty of time left and we still have lots of poker to play.

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“You decide to mix it up and just flat.”

*facepalm*

It’s the early stages, what is there to mix up? With 4 people left to act, we’re just setting ourselves up to lose money.

It’s a clear fold now. It’s senseless to treat JJ as a setmining hand and still be prepared to go broke on an all-under board.
The re-raise on the flop was meant to give us a cheap river. That’s obviously not going to happen.

Fold and learn how and when to mix up your play!

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I’d say about the only thing we have going for us in this scenario is that V can’t have reasonably put us on JJ.
It’s possible he’s overplaying 77-99 or AK here, but seems more likely he’s got a better pair or a set. I’m not sure we have enough FE if we shove and I don’t think we’re ahead of enough of his range to justify a call.
One of the benefits of playing in position is you get the chance to read your opponent. He’s telling us he has a hand and it’s probably beating our jacks.

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Preflop was fine. Calling rather than 3-betting is an acceptable play some of the time. But I don’t see much point in raising the flop and giving the game away. This isn’t a flop we can reasonably be semi-bluffing with a draw, so raising looks exactly like an overpair putting in a value raise. Granted, we have a strong overpair, but I don’t like giving the game away and folding out the villain’s weaker hands. It’s a hard flop to connect with so if he doesn’t fold we’re in questionable shape vs. his continuation range. We fold out high card hands a lot and get it in vs. QQ+. Sometimes we stack off vs. a worse overpair but sometimes the villain calls the flop with those but then folds the turn if we keep betting. Raising the flop was a questionable play. I would have just called there.

Now I fold. The bet/call was strong, and leading the turn is super strong. There’s no way the villain has AK except for exactly AcKc, so unless we think he’s overplaying 99 we’re in bad shape vs JJ+/set. The ten is a pretty bad card as TT now beats us, and that’s a very likely hand to bet/call the flop and then lead the turn.

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I agree we’re probably beat, but what about pot odds? I am guessing a good 20% chance we are up against a weaker hand (AQc, AT or 99), 5% chance V is being “tricky” and mixing it up himself with low cards plus another 5% chance we are up against a set but draw out on him. If we don’t hit there is no guarantee he will bet the river. Are you ready to give up a big pot and fall to one of the small/medium stacks? It is close but I would call this bet.

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samo Reply:
September 28th, 2010 at 10:53 am

Despite having no read on the opponent, it is very unlikely they have AQ or AT since those totally missed the flop. AKc is possible, but still a bit of a stretch when you consider the Hero as solid. I’d fold JJ even on this all-under board.

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pot odds? lol..you would be risking your tournament life if you didnt fold this hand. Your stack is what is in the pot now and your opponent has shown MAJOR strength. Fold now if you wanna continue your tournament.

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