May 22, 2012

Daily Hand Quiz

DailyHandQuiz

Game type: $50 NL tournament on Pokerstars
Stage of tourney: Nearing bubble
Your image: Nittish
Opponent’s image: Very aggressive
Your hand: A♦J♦

The setup: You’ve dwindled to a short stack as this $50 tournament nears the bubble. A very aggressive opponent raises to 1875 UTG. Two people fold and then a fairly solid player calls. The table folds to you in the SB.

What’s your play? Would your answer change if you held AQs?

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13 COMMENTS  (Jump to comment form)

Morat


I’d raise that, because 1) UTG is agressive and can have a much wider range than AQ+, QQ+ and “nearing the bubble” probably just makes him more agressive; 2) MP caller is solid so most likely realizes that UTG is agressive (so calls lighter than normally) and we are nits (so folds to our raise in a blink of an eye); 3) we have a nittish image, so our hand looks actually much stronger than it is; 4) we might nearing the bubble (how many players left?), but we are pretty short so we gotta do something soon anyways.
The only concern is that stack sizes may price in 1 or 2 calls, but I think we are very unlucky if we are not flipping at least.
I might fold if there’s less than 5 players left until the bubble.

(Oh I wish I could ever have a nittish image…)

[Reply]

samo Reply:

Imo you are right on Morat. The deciding factor for me is the M~4, which outweighs pricing-in multiple players. Time to get lucky.

[Reply]

Marty


hate the call…

i’d jam for same reasons as Morat and that stack looks especially short compared to rest of table (I’m assuming other tables are similar)

[Reply]

Beamer


I’m too short to fold here with that hand. Get it in and gamble one time. If I win the hand I have some show down value and can build some fold equity hopefully.

[Reply]

Loki


It costs 1875 to go around one orbit at this point (check that). Thus, H has M = 4 making this an easy all in in any situation.
Add to that H’s nittish image, V is aggro, and the power of the old sandwich squeeze play and this is a simple raise.
One the plus side, we might not even be gambling as we could fold out both V’s.
1. Fold? M=4 and it’s about to be M=3. This is most likely the best hand you are going to see before you die folding.
2. Call? Sure, let’s commit almost 1/3 of our stack without adding fold equity. Terrible play.
3. Raise? Perfect.

[Reply]

_CityBorn_ Reply:

yep.

[Reply]

Waste_Of_Paint Reply:

Interesting you agree with that CityBorn… I just looked up the original quiz of this as I know it is a rerun, and you commented that calling was the best option before, this was your comment:

“I dont like any of the choices. Folding a nice hand without seeing a flop hurts, raising puts us at risk with a good, but not great hand against 2 potential callers, and calling puts us out of position with a small stack relative to the pot. Out of the 3 scenrios though, im going for the call. I just thing call 1400 here to see how it looks and possibly double or triple up from there is worth the bite out of your stack right now. it will hurt if you miss, but not as much as getting knocked if you shove or tossing 400 with a nice hand and not even having an opportunity to use it to get back into the game.”

;-)

[Reply]

Waste_Of_Paint Reply:

BTW I wasn’t snooping old quizzes to catch people out on old comments, just wanted to see what people had said before :-)

Anonymous Reply:

haha….guess that goes to show how unpredictable i am. one day i might shove, one day i might call. even I dont know what im gonna do :)

_CityBorn_ Reply:

last comment was me

Pirate21


It seems so obvious, I don’t see why 40% are voting fold.
You have to shove this every time.
Player A might call because he’s aggro and has the chips – but he was probably raising light anyway so we’re ahead of a large portion of his range.
D is folding because if he had a premium hand he would have re-raised and because it will cost 1/3 of his chips to call.

[Reply]

catcher


If there’s a perfect spot for a squeeze then this is it. Get your chips in.

[Reply]

abbbott


shove, you M is low, you’re not worried about the caller, and as they all say you’re sooooooted!!!!!!!!

[Reply]

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