
Game type: $109 freezeout, PokerStars
Stage of tourney: Nearing the bubble
Your image: LAG
Opponent’s image: VERY tight
Your hand: 9♣9♠
The setup: You’re nearing the money of this tournament when the following hand comes up.
You get 99. UTG folds and then an super-tight player raises. A player folds and the action is on you.
What’s your play?
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Tempted to raise here but really don’t want to commit 1/4 – 1/3 of my stack in this spot so I’ll just flat and play position.
I’m not crazy about pricing in opponents but bigger stacks behind us are less likely to respect the LAG raise anyway.
[Reply]
I’d say villain’s range here is something like AK, JJ+ and possibly AQs. We’re crushed by a lot of this range, so raising is far too dangerous as the very possible re-raise-all-in would leave us pretty committed and in big trouble. Folding isn’t terrible but I think it’s pretty nitty and a potentially wasted opportunity.
I like calling to setmine. Our positional advantage post-flop is huge, because a super-tight player will probably not lead out of position on the flop without either a piece of the board or an overpair. If we spike the 9 there’s a pretty good chance we’re stacking him. If we miss a flop that doesn’t include an A or K and he checks, I’d lead out expecting to take it down.
I don’t mind if the live players behind are induced into the pot by the odds as I’m primarily setmining anyway, although they’ll still need a pretty reasonable holding to get involved given the action. The small blind may shove his meagre stack in to triple-up-or-die, but again I’m not too concerned about that. If anyone raises behind, I’m folding.
[Reply]
_CityBorn_ Reply:
April 26th, 2010 at 9:44 am
exactly.
[Reply]
Raising with nines here is asking for trouble – for those few hands in villain’s range that we can force out there are more those that will come over the top.
Calling for set mining has its problems too. Even if we do spike our 9 it is by no means sure that we will be actually able to get our whole stack in – V might have AK and not connect, an overcard might flop to V’s pp, and so on. I order to go for set mining I’d really like to be a bit deeper and/or have at least one more player involved. Our call may also invite a squeeze by one of the big stacks, and in that case we again have to let it go.
Given the stack sizes and nearing bubble I would probably play it nitty and fold. If we flat and face a c-bet on flop there’s not that much wiggle room – floating a 5k c-bet would bring the pot to 17k, so in order to take it down at turn (if checked to) we would basically need to go all in, and for this I would like to have something more substantial than pair of nines.
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so, lets assume we raise and he jams us were obv folding. Now lets say we make it 5.5K and he flats then donk bets a 7 4 3 flop, what then?
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Anyone keen for a swaaaaaaaally tonight, you railtards?
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very awkward spot regarding stacksizes and the fact, that we are up vs a “super-tight player”. i prolly just let it go and wait for a better spot. setmining is pretty spewy for about 10% of our stack, there are still five players left to act behind; we might get squeezed, if not we’d call a cbet on flops that contains no overs or only one over(?!), if he checks the turn we dunno if we are good or not, check behind for “pot control” and we are just trying to get to showdown cheap etc etc. We have no room to manouver and outplay the guy postflop. I avoid this spot and fold.
[Reply]
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