Pair with raise in front, Stars Sunday Million

DailyHandQuiz

Game type: Poker Stars Sunday Million
Stage of tourney: ITM, 33 / 7786 remain
Avg stack: ~2.5 m
Your image: Aggressive
Opponent’s image: No read
Your hand: ??

The setup: You’ve been a little more active than the table norm the last few orbits. You’re closing in on a small bubble – when you hit 27, everyone moves up about $1200.

This hand UTG folds and you make a raise to 3x with a pair. Two players fold and the CO shoves over you. The table folds back to you.

It’s about 1.5 million to you. What’s the minimum pair that you’re calling with here?

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8 COMMENTS (Jump to comment form)

_CityBorn_

I voted 77+. I might call with lower depending on gut feeling at the time. With very small pairs, I hate the feeling that a double paired board counterfeits me. Plus if hes pushing with a small pair, which is possible, 77+ at least has a chance of crushing something in his range.

Hes got about 15 bb, which makes his range a little wider than normal. I say only a little, because it looks like the table average isnt much higher. He’d be feeling some pressure, but he could also lay back and wait for some small stacks to bust. Nonetheless, Im beating his range, so Im rocking with 77+.

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Nelson

Hmmm…tough with no read on villain. I might be kinda nitty but I’d call with 10′s or better.

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I voted for JJ+ here but I really can’t see myself liking the play unless its QQ or higher, cause the range is prolly 55 to QQ or the AK, AQ and maybe a weak AJ… i guess I could see myself doing it with 99+ but I’d certainly have to think about it.

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Pete

Obviously we don’t know anything about him, but he has the perfect resteal stack and he definitely could be shipping wide. I went with 77+, although it’s pretty tough to say with no kind of read.

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Pirate21

Struggled between 99 and JJ. Went with JJ + mainly due to the lack of solid read.

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Morat

Without reads I have to assume, that he’s aware of the bubble and want me to call. I expect him to have a strong range here. Sounds nitty, but voted JJ+. With reads it can be a different story.

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Anonymous

88+ if that was an option. Closer to 77 than 99.

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Loki

Let’s assume that since V has gotten this deep with a decent but dwindling stack V knows what he/she is doing. I.e. V knows that he/she has an M of about 6 (6.3 to be exact).
This means that V is either at the point or near the point where V is looking to shove with anything not trash. A read would help here, but that would include anything along the lines of KJ, T9 and maybe even 43s–and of course anything better. I would also argue that V is going to overshove with premium hands as well because at this point V knows he/she does not have enough chips to play around.
Therefore, I take my likely 55% edge and rock out with 77+ and call happily with 99+. With JJ I add a ::fistpump::

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