Baby set on the turn, no limit cash

Tourney / NL

DailyHandQuiz

Game type: .50 / 1 NL cash, PokerStars
Your image: TAG
Opponent’s image: Strong regular
Your hand: 9♥9♠

The setup: You call a EP preflop raise with nines and flop a set:

9♦T♠K♠

The preflop raiser bets $6 into $10. You call and the turn brings the 8♣.

Your opponent makes it $16. What’s your play?

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11 COMMENTS (Jump to comment form)

Jeff

Jam to 46.

Need to extract value here because any Q, J, T or spade blunts any action on the river. Not to mention, I’m really looking to win this right here and now. Too many scare cards counterfit my hand.

[Reply]

Jeff Reply:
February 16th, 2010 at 12:27 am

****mistype****
Q,J, or spade (and to a lesser degree any 7, which is to say I don’t think i’d get called if i bet the river should a 7 fall). Should any of the aforementioned cards fall, i’m happy to check it down.

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samo Reply:
February 16th, 2010 at 5:59 am

Agree – would raise somewhere between 3-3.5x. Hero does not want hand to make it to the river.

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WasteOfPaint

Definite raise. In my opinion we should have been raising on the flop – why didn’t we charge villain to see another card on that board?

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_CityBorn_ Reply:
February 16th, 2010 at 3:26 pm

We’re heads up in position. You cant raise to protect hands as strong as sets everytime because youre scared the v will make a straight or a flush on a 2 spade gapped board. thats a sure fire way to be a break-even player at best. if a blank comes on the turn, or the board pairs, now we have options….we can flat call again and let him keep firing, we can raise and be prepared for a reraise, ready to get it all in…etc

as it stands now with the 8 dropping, there are just too many ways the v could back his way into a hand….have to charge him to continue. im popping it a little less than 3x to about 45. he’ll probbaly fold and ill regret it, but i just dont know where we stand. if i call here and a scare card comes on the river, im probably losing more than id like, so id rather end it here, or let him put more cash in while my hand is good.

[Reply]

the sage Reply:
February 16th, 2010 at 5:20 pm

good analysis as usual. no doubt we have to raise when the 8 hits, thats obvious. better quiz would’ve been how to play the flop, and i agree that too many players see that flop and raise to protect, whereas most good players know that most of the time the turn isn’t a scare card and they can just flat call the flop with confidence. gotta play a slighter higher risk game to get max value out of our set, sometimes it’ll bite you, but long term it’s the right play.

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Nelson

Raise. But be prepared to be beat if a third spade and/or 4 card straight comes on the river. Although we may already be priced in at that point.

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Pirate21

Raise all day – and charge a hefty price to see a river card. V’s bet on the flop tells me he doesn’t have the straight (yet). If we let him get there, shame on us. Totally agree with WasteOfPaint – that flop was too draw heavy to not reraise.

Hey Nelson – how’d your tourney go over the weekend?

[Reply]

Nelson Reply:
February 16th, 2010 at 9:57 am

163 players – only 15 got entry. I got bounced out in 36th place as a favorite. Got it all in preflop with AA76, double suited. Villain called me with KK84, all offsuit, and caught a King on the flop and I couldn’t recover. Total bummer. But thats the way it goes in Omaha. Hand strength is really close preflop, and almost anything can happen once the cards come out. I’d like to say though that it was a pretty terrible call on his part with nothing suited and really only a pair to work with. I did play a live holdem tourny on Sat. – Got 27th out of 95 for ….jack squat. You make any nice scores over the weekend?

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Pirate21 Reply:
February 16th, 2010 at 11:58 am

Nothin big enough to brag about for me. Couple moderate sit n go wins but I’ll still have to work the day job for now
Nice work in the tourney – once it gets late, you can’t do much better than getting it all in good. It won’t always break your way…