Weak hand facing bet on river, nl MTT

DailyHandQuiz

Game type: $100 1r 1a on Full Tilt Poker
Stage of tourney: Early stages
Your image: TAG
Opponent’s image: No strong read
Your hand: K♦9♦

The setup: You’re right around a starting stack in the $100 one rebuy / one add on tournament on Full Tilt when the following hand comes up.

You’re dealt a suited K9 in the SB. The table folds to the button, who calls. You call and the BB checks. You whiff:

J♣J♠T♣

The table checks around and the turn brings the 7♥. You check and so do both opponents. The river pairs you with the 9♣.

You check, the BB checks, and the button bets the pot. What’s your play?

Loading ...

7 COMMENTS (Jump to comment form)

Nelson

Not worth it for me to call here. I don’t have very many chips as it is, so another 480 out of my stack would really hurt if I’m wrong. I’m just not beating very much here. Villain’s bet says to me that he has a 10, a 7, or a flush. All in all its just not worth it. There will be other spots…patience Daniel-son…

[Reply]

Pirate21 Reply:
January 20th, 2010 at 8:56 am

…or a straight

[Reply]

Pirate21

Totally agree with Nelson. Only thing we’re ahead of is a bluff or a small pocket pair. Not really the spot to call a pot-sized bet.
If you’re going to put money in on the river in this hand, much better to make the bet than call it. Once you check, you really have to fold unless you’ve got a real strong read on villain.

[Reply]

insane

Also must mention another player has yet to act. Fold. Should have tested the put out a bet on the turn when we hit to see where we were at.

[Reply]

insane

Tested the “waters”. I am such a donkey.

[Reply]

McCowish

Fold

Raise exposes us to unnecessary risk–we have no value with raising it turns our hand into a bluff and with no strong read on our opponent, he can’t be hoping he’d repop with air if he was a super maniac.

So call or fold

Okay, what can we beat? Q9, a seven and a bluff. I don’t think a seven beats enough here to raise pot on the river for value. I don’t really see q9 making this move either. So we beat a bluff and that’s about it. Okay, so is he likely bluffing?

Let’s examine the way the hand was played
A jack would have beat either on the flop or the turn with such a drawy board.

A jack would have bet before the river-so no jack. likewise with an overpair.

The river hit everything-flush draw, KQ to straight, any 8 for straight.

He could well be bluffing, but early in the tourny with no read, I don’t have enough information to make a call with this hand profitable vs an imageless opponent, so I fold.

I’d fold–better places to put in my money.

[Reply]

Bobbob

I’m calling. The way this hand was played he doesn’t have anything. If I start fearing straight here I might fold quads fearing the straight flush.
It’s easy to bluff when it’s checked down to the river.
If it was a freezeout it would be a different manner, we haven’t used our rebuy and I’m more a fan of accumulate chips-strategies (Pay off the straight and bust yourself with pocket nines soon-strategies)

[Reply]