Daily Hand Quiz

I might take a stab at this pot with a 3/4 pot size bet. After BB and UTG check I think its worth a shot to at least try to get rid of the cutoff and then be in position for the rest of the hand, and maybe my bet would just scare everyone off right there. It is realistic to think someone might have a king so I’d proceed with caution if someone just calls here. If someone raises, I guess it depends on how much, but I’d look for a reason to fold rather than a reason to call. Chances are that spade isn’t coming on the turn – and then what? I’ve got an inflated pot with nothing. Hopefully I’ll be able to get a free river card (with a check/check on the turn) since I showed interest on the flop. But if I bet and get a caller (or raiser and then I call) on the flop and that turn is not a spade – I’d probably fold to a large bet. If I had a better read on UTG, maybe I’d bet the turn against them as well – but without a read I think I’d want to check it down and hopefully hit that spade.

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I’ll lead.

Here is why I will lead in this situation:
If someone has K – we must find out who has it.
If someone has a weaker flush draw – we want them in.

King – will call or raise from late position
if the king is in early position (which has checked to us already) then will call or raise

we obviously are hoping for only a call.
-anyone who calls is our king/flush draw
-anyone who raises is our king(I don’t see a flush draw raising unless he’s a tricky player)

HOW MUCH TO LEAD?
the perfect price to not induce a raise and make the king want to slow play.

we have the image of an active player to lead

we want to make our bet SEEM big so the king doesn’t want to raise us and milk us instead.. hope he calls and play the turn.. hoping for help like a Q or 10 and of course a Spade

im thinking like 1875 into 2780 is a fair bet

-if we get raised
then call if the price is right
if its a big raise then we consider folding

worst case scenario… we get priced out of our draw then we lose 2175
best case scenario… no one had the king and we take down a 2780 pot

[Reply]

Voted check-call because we have been active. If K in early position, they might check hoping to raise when we poke at pot. Hopefully get a free card by checking – my thinking is that late position would likely check (without the K) or bet less than the pot hoping to extract (with the K).
Not going to get terribly excited because with my luck one of the two betters probably had 22.

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veldig interessant, takk

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