Aces on dry board, no limit cash
Game type: 25/50 Full Ring Cash, PokerStars
Your image: Active, possibly a little frustrated
Opponent’s image: Very aggressive preflop
Your hand: A♦A♥
The setup: You’ve had an uneven session so far and it’s been a bit since you won a hand. This hand there’s a poster in the hijack preflop. The table folds to him and he checks. You raise $200. The button folds and the SB three bets to $825. The BB and hijack fold, and you flat.
You have a good amount of history with the raiser. He is a very active three bettor and seems to have your number in recent sessions. He is very aggressive against your preflop raises, especially if there’s a squeeze opportunity. He’s also a pretty steady continuation bettor.
You flop about as dry as can be:
J♣2♥6♦
The SB leads for $985 into $1750. What’s your play?
Loading …11.17.09 / 12am
Call.
If our opponent was deeper I’d raise here but the stack size of our opponent means we just don’t need to in order stack him by the river.
I’m tempted to just shove in this spot to rep the frustrated AK against a regular c-bettor hoping he looks us up with any piece of the board or underpair.
It’s almost certain on this board that our opponent is mostly c-betting hands that can’t call any sized raise unless he reads the raise as a bluff. He certainly has no fold equity to shove over a perceived bluff raise without a hand.
Therefore I think the best approach I think is just to flat call and put him in a position of playing multiple streets OOP in a pot the size of his stack.
If he checks the turn I’m leading for half pot or a little more, if he bets the turn I’m flat calling again.
11.17.09 / 4am
If hero calls, the pot is ~$3.8k, so they would need to lead for ~60% of stack on the turn. Unless they have/hit something I don’t see that happening. I think we have a better chance to extract value with a raise now, as AA is well-disguised. V is agg p/f, but no mention of post-flop play except steady c-bettor. I’d make it $1.4K on top.
11.17.09 / 12pm
Let the aggrodonk hang himself. Call.
11.17.09 / 8pm
Raise,
1.Math: If you are getting out-thought by an opponent,
1)Leave the table if it’s a bad table, but as we’re in the middle of a hand, that’s probably a poor idea
*2)Return to the math. Make the game about math either to drive it into a detail oriented game in which case you aren’t going to win big or lose big - most likely you’ll lose small. This buys you time to think for counter-adaptation or to think about other styles of play you know and change gears into it.
The “right” thing to do with a dry board J hi with AA is to raise:
if he has QQ, he’ll try to bust you, KK try to bust you, AJ, he might raise.
2. Image: You have an active frustrated image. Active frustrated players tend to PLAY to many hands and bet when they shouldn’t. So bet when you should.
3.Hand on future streets: He has already Cbet, calling sends us to the turn. Another card. What are we hoping for? Our 1 pair goes down in value on the turn, and if he has nothing, will he bluff into us? How often? If we have a history with him where he has been a problem, why is this not addressed?
4) Stack to pot. We are committed to the hand at this point with a call–we are not folding for fear of a set. Mine as well not give him free cards and free information to make a more informed decision.
Marty Reply:
November 17th, 2009 at 3:49 pm
Exactement!