Medium pair with significant action in front, NL MTT

DailyHandQuiz

Game type: $100 1 rebuy 1 add on, Full Tilt Poker
Stage of tourney: Nearing bubble
Your image: Fairly tight
Opponent’s image: Aggressive
Your hand: 8♣8♥

The setup: You’ve got a healthy, but still vulnerable stack in this $100 one rebuy one add on tournament that’s nearing the bubble. You’re dealt 88 in the BB.

UTG folds and UTG+1 makes it 3x to go. The table folds to the SB, who jams for about 3k more.

The original raiser has been opening over 15% of his hands in the first two seats over a sample of a few hundred tournament hands. You don’t have anything on the SB.

What’s your play?

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5 COMMENTS (Jump to comment form)

black fair

Fold.

Instinctively I want to raise to isolate here, we are getting great odds and are almost always going to fold out the original raiser or at worst have a hand that plays well against his range.

The problem is that our stack and the proximity of the bubble measn we’re better off folding here.

The SB has zero fold equity vs the original raiser so when they make this move close to the bubble I’m giving them credit for a range that my eights are, on average, behind.

The attractive odds means with a bigger stack we could gamble hoping for a flip or in the dream scenario to be up against 66/77 but we compromise our tournament far too much by the hit we’d take losing this pot.

I’ll save my chips and use my tight image to win pots by being the aggressor as we encounter the bubble.

[Reply]

Samurai Kid

I’d guess we’re at a race at best. We’re close to the money and we don’t have much invested. Fold and pick a better spot.

[Reply]

samo

I’ll fold. Not worried about the SB shove as he/she has M2-1 to call, which is probably a good price considering the avg of the EP hand. If I interpret the data correctly, the EP is not overly loose. Hero is oop and nearing the bub – let it go.

[Reply]

samo

my post was somehow cutoff – “… he/she has M<3. Getting +2-1 to call, which is …”

[Reply]

PokerAnon

Looks like most people agree on this one.

If the SB open shoved it’s an easy call, but SB just doubles the price of the UTG+1 raise. UTG+1 has us covered, has position. We could reraise to try to isolate but I don’t think for that many chips is worth it in case UTG+1 has a monster.

For those who voted call I might call if it were a freeroll or something, but not against half-decent players.

[Reply]