Archive Pick: Rivered full house, NL WSOP satellite
Game type: $322 WSOP Satellite, Full Tilt Poker
Stage of tourney: Early
Your image: A little loose
Opponent’s image: No strong read
Your hand: A♣4♣
This hand is from our archives, view the original quiz and comments here
The setup: You’ve built a decent stack in this WSOP satty with loose play, but you’ve shown down strong. This hand you get a suited ace in EP. UTG limps and you overlimp; three other players limp. You flop trips:
A♠7♠A♦
The UTG limper leads for 60. You call and the button calls. The turn brings the 8♣. UTG checks, you check, and the button bets pot. UTG folds and you call.
The river makes your boat with the 4♣. You check, and the button bets a bit under pot. What’s your play?
Loading …9.1.09 / 3am
Voted raise. I’d go for a mini, as I put the the v on a pp. If they had a big ace, believe a p/f raise would have been in order from the button. One of our lines is a busted flush draw, so that may be prompting the riv bet here. We have shown done strong so far - let’s try and extract a bit more here.
9.1.09 / 3am
I love the shove for sure
9.1.09 / 4am
Fold? FOLD?!?!?! Hahahaa
LOL.
9.1.09 / 5am
What are the chances that that fourth ace was in someone’s hand? It’s got to be somewhere. 14/45 by my count, or roughly 1/3.
If someone had the ace, then would they have limped to the flop? We did.
If they flopped trips, would they have stayed? I would think so.
If they made it there, what are the odds that they had the 7 or 8 that would beat you? 2/13, give or take.
So, we’re looking at a 2/39, or roughly 1/20 chance that the button has us beat, just assuming IID and the like, without any inference from the action.
I say it’s worth it: bet. The only question is what bet maximizes payoff here; do you entice them to reraise, or do you just shove? Which one depends on your read. I’m not really into pussy-footing around; I’d shove and try to look slightly-non-confident-but-putting-up-a-brave-face as I was doing so.
9.1.09 / 11am
definetly a re-raise at 3x the size of the underpot bet on the river, chances are if he isnt trying to steal on the button, then he has AK AQ etc. all in
9.1.09 / 12am
I’d just raise all in.
I think most of the time our opponent is folding to our river check-raise since there are plenty of hands he can bet the river with after we check which can’t stand the heat of a raise.
Most of those times he has a hand willing to call a check-raise he’s going to be calling regardless of whether its a check-min-raise or check-all-in. If our oponent has an ace, or any pockets they’re going to find it tough to lay down and I don’t think our bet size will make a huge difference, either they think they’ve got the best hand or they think we do.
Shoving also has the potential to be taken as a bluff given we have our opponent covered whereas a min-raise or anything in between is usually going to be taken as being for value given our strong show-downs. Shoving may even widen the range of hands he calls with vs a min-raise. Some people love the hero call.