Daily Hand Quiz

This is a tough spot and i really wish we had some reads/stats for our villains.

It’s a FOLD or Shove situation, but I lay it down.

The SB’s range is very wide, especially since he’s loose, but the check call smells like a flush or straight draw at best. So 9 or 8 outs accordingly, but i’m not worried about the SB.

The BB is the tricky one. His raise strikes me as odd. It may simply be trying to iso the SB and believes our cbet to just be air (tho unlikely since we’ve already raised to isolate preflop, so we should have something decent). His raise amount is what’s puzzling. He’s giving us 4:1 odds on a call here. What kind of hands would do that?
A set and 2 pair would pot it. I think he’s got whichever draw the SB does not, but is willing to play for at least another 7 bucks (the sb’s remaining stack if called).

Regardless of the BB’s peculiar play, what makes me fold is stack sizes. If we were deeper we could re-raise here with enough chips behind to get away from the hand if he shoves, but the only effective move for us is the overbet AI. I simply do not want to stick 51 more dollars into the pot w/ TP K-kicker with almost no chance to improve (a J could boat him, and a K may still be behind).

I’m looking for spots to stack opponents, not speculative ones where I felt w/ just a pair.

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I would raise.

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Voted call. With better than 3-1 to call, I’ll put the BB on a draw. A trick v could play a set or 2-pr this way, but without a read I’ll discard these holdings. Folding is fine due to stack sizes; Raising – we are probably ahead, but with only top-pr, prefer to play pot control.

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Obviously in this setup against a loose player you always can never quite read him, he either is rolling of top pair low kicker. Now you more mathematical players than me know this already, but if he has a flush draw there’s a 36% chance he will hit it, if he has a straight draw he has a 32% chance to hit. Frankly speaking this a dangerous board because it is draw heavy board, and for yourself you only have 5 more outs, or a 20% chance of making a sure thing. Besides there always an outside chance that he has a two pair, A-J, Or even trips, yes, a tough laydown but from a mathematical point of view a wise one.

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calling is the worst move in this spot because you will be forced to make a decision with just one pair on the turn and river. I say fold.

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