
Game type: $120 KO tournament, Full Tilt Poker
Stage of tourney: Moving toward money
Your image: n/a
Opponent’s image: Fairly quiet
Your hand: A♣J♥
The setup: You’ve built a pretty solid stack in this tournament. Your table has been pretty aggressive for the last few orbits.
This hand three players fold and a shorter stack shoves for about 7k.
What’s your play?
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If he has been quiet, then he is probably a tag. If he is a tag he knows when to be selectively aggresive. His m is 7 he can be doing a shove with a wide range, his range is any pair, any king, any broadway, t9suited etc etc 40% + he can shove profitably here. your ace is not a medium strength ace it is a strong ace. With the likelihood that you hand beats his range and the money in the pot from blinds and anties this is a trivial and obvious call of his shove
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actually I’m sorry its late i thought it was a sb shove into big blind, please then this regard that first analysis, its a much closer decision based upon him being quiet which means he shoving a tighter range
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Definitie fold,,,, it is time to tighten up… youve been too loose to invest in ahuge pot like this,,, uve got to keep the pot small, and be agressive then,,, unless, you will definitely need luck to win… free money to play poker at: pokerstrategy .ccom/u2YAUB
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All of you who chose fold: what is your calling range in a spot like this?
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McCowish Reply:
July 18th, 2009 at 5:01 pm
AQ, 1010, something that can almost beat the midpoint of his range.
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samo Reply:
July 19th, 2009 at 4:57 am
AQs and JJ+.
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black fair Reply:
July 19th, 2009 at 11:50 pm
I’ll go even tighter.
AK/QQ+
simply due to raisers position and the number of stacks to follow.
I’d have no problem folding AQ here. We’ve got a great stack size that gives us so many options that marginal spots like this where we are just gambling a big chunk, or all, of our stack preflop should be easy to pass up.
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AQ+ 1010+, i just hate AJ, im not so much worried about the shove, we might be ahead but its all the ppl behind im worried about who can certainly cripple us or knock us out
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I agree with Bert on this, this is a borderline call with AJ, I might make it and I might not, depending on whether I wanted to burst through the bubble and make the money, or finish on top. He could easily hjave gotten crazy with an Ace Nothng or a King-Ten, the trouble is you have four people left to act, if you just call here you are going to be pricing a lot of hands in, looking for a gamble, and you are going to be building a huge pot, in mid posistion with a mediocre hand, does that sound like a good idea? On the other hand, if you raise, to shut out opponents, you are going to end up commiting half your chips with a mediocre hand, and ths will work out fine a lot, but god forbid, what about if someone actually picks up a hand reraises you, you will be pretty much pot commited here, do you really want all your chips going in the middle with AJ?
Just fold.
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I’m with Bert. I’d think about calling with AQs, AK or 10/10+. It’s the stacks behind me I’d be worried about, with AJo.
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Well obviously we need to know what the knockout bounty is, as that has a big effect on the expected value of this call. When I say call I obviously mean shove, because since you’re never folding after making the first call you might as well put the lot in immediately.
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Fold
1)Villain has been quiet. AJo likely can not beat the midpoint of D’s range from mp2.
Pot odds say we need 46% to break even.
For AJo to be 46% versus his range, villain’s range would have to be AA to 66, Ak to A8o, KQo. For a quiet player, I don’t think opening with a shove with A8o, A9 from mp2 for a quiet player is standard with a 6M.
2)You have 4 players behind you, 2 can virtually break you.
3) Given that this is a $120 Knock-out Tourny, D probably thinks confrontation is more likely than a regular tournament and thus makes it more likely to actually hold a hand.
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Voted fold. V has an M~7 which is not totally desperation boulevard yet. There are still players to act. Give the v credit and tighten-up at this stage. I’d call with AQs, JJ+.
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you’re only really dead to AQ,AK,QQ-AA
AJ is not a bad call here. He could be pushing with a weaker ace or a lower pair which your not in bad shape against. table has been loose even a quiet player could pull steals with KQ or A7 thus I call.
robicals out.
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We need to tighten up here. Fold now.
Call with QQ+, AK
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