
Game type: Step 4 WSOP Satellite, Poker Stars
Your image: A little tight
Opponent’s image: Weak
Your hand: J♠5♥
The setup: You’re in Step 4 of the PokerStars WSOP Satellites. 4th and 5th get a Step 3 ticket ($82), 3rd gets a Step 4 and top two get a Step 5 ($700).
This hand the table folds to the SB, who has been limping pretty weak. You consider shoving but opt to checl. You flop mid pair and a flush draw:
3♠5♠6♠
The SB thinks a second and then shoves for about 7x pot (4x effective). What’s your play?
DHQ Staff says: The shove could mean a lot of things, but from a player like this is likely means a medium strength hand or fairly solid draw – think A4, 88, 76 or a naked ace of spades. You’re actually doing pretty well against that range, and while you’re not being laid the best price, I think you just have too much equity to consider folding, especially as this payout structure isn’t as flat as some other steps. You’re going to need chips just to break even, and this seems like a good spot to get them.
What actually happened: You called and were shown 7s 5c. You held up to win the hand.
Quiz courtesy of PartTimePoker.com. Check out our WSOP Satellite Strategy and Info Pages.
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Way to much equity to let this hand go. I’m shoving for sure.
[Reply]
@ Tazz
I think you mean you’re calling for sure, the SB has already shoved.
I don’t think the SB would do this with just say top pair, a hand like Kh 6d as it’s only a 7% chip gain for him and he’s risking 44% of his stack. Against that top pair no spade hand we are ahead, 52 – 48%.
As it is I think the SB, especially as weak, must also have a pair and spade. If he has the 6 with say the 10s then it’s a 50-50 flip. Even if he has a higher spade with bottom pair then it’s also a 50-50.
So in terms of pot odds this is an easy call. In terms of chip equity / prize structure I’ll leave that to the Wizard.
[Reply]
@richard
Thank you mr perfect. It actually a gain of around 10percent. And it’s a risk of 44.4 percent. Thanks
[Reply]
@ Tazz
No problem, we are all on here to improve our respective games.
[Reply]
i call. his range is pretty open. i assume he has a spade or a pair, but not necessarily both, and the # of hands that are worse then ours in his range exceed the # of hands that are beating us
in addition, folding leaves us with a weak stack whereas winning this pot makes us close to chip leader. i dont think its much of a deliberation.
[Reply]
Voted fold. While we are short-stacked, I’d prefer to shove rather than call. The fold is based on the v being “weak”, which may indicate over-playing hands that are ahead. I’d put them on a better spade, maybe Qx, could even have an open-end, and/or top pair. If they had Ks or As, but believe a p/f raise would have been order. Rather not risk my stack in this sitch.
[Reply]
@Richard P
I work out Tazz is spot on about the chip gain. Where do you come up with 7% from?
[Reply]
I think this is on average the best opportunity I will have being the short stack. I can’t afford to fold here and let the blinds go through me again and the pot is giving such sweet odds.
Shoving by him is a weird play for a weak player. A bit more standard raise to put pressure on.
It’s very possible he has 2 overs to the board and a higher spade and can’t afford to see a turn cheap then have his equity chopped in half on a blank as he checks and you raise, so he is pre-empting that with an allin raise, plus guessing he has fold equity against a similar hand to ours.
In my opinion, he probably has a better hand than ours, but I’m guessing we have at least a 40% versus that range and we’ll probably have about that if we wait so I’ll go vs. his goofy move here.
[Reply]
qdhVB2 comment1 ,
[Reply]
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