Flush facing river raise, WSOP satellite

DailyHandQuiz

Game type: $300 WSOP satellite, Full Tilt Poker
Stage of tourney: Early
Your image: TAG
Opponent’s image: No strong read
Your hand: 4♠3♠

The setup: It’s still in the first hour of this WSOP satellite and you’ve been relatively quiet, opening a few pots but not going to any showdowns. This hand you get a suited 43 and make it 3x to go. The CO calls and both blinds call. You flop strong:

6♠3♦Q♠

The blinds check and you bet 310 into 360. The CO calls and the blinds fold. You turn the flush with the 8♠ and check. The CO checks behind. The river brings the 7♣.

You bet 780 and the CO raises to 2160. What’s your play?

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9 COMMENTS (Jump to comment form)

DHQ Staff

I’d probably prefer a river check here as I think you get more value from a wider range by check-calling, but now that you’ve bet …

I think given how you’ve played this hand, you’re facing either a bigger flush or air / weak made hand turned into bluff. Most two pair hands and sets are probably just calling here, although you might get a random raise out of them every once in awhile. You’re getting just shy of 3-1 here, so if you think this is a bluff more than 30% of the time, you’ll show a slight profit by calling.

I personally don’t think this is a bluff that often, but your weak line may skew the bluffing frequency. It’s probably pretty close between a call and a fold, but the fact that the pot started multi-way makes me less likely to believe the CO floated the flop, so I’m folding.

You called and were shown the nut flush

[Reply]

Richard P

I think our river bet (80% of pot) is too steep, would rather bet half pot to get paid off and to make it cheaper to call a potential river bluff. As it is I fold as stack would be decimated (even though we’d still have an M of 18) and I’m assuming there’s nothing for 2nd place.

[Reply]

Cristiano

since this is the early stages of the satellite, I’d call hoping for a bluff, although I believe we cant be ahead. Should my stack be deeper or nearer to the bubble this would be an easy fold (I agree the river shuld be checekd down instead).

[Reply]

Richard P

Surely we have to value bet on at least one street with a flush? I don’t know what hand would call on the flop, check behind on the turn and then bet out after we check again on the river (that isn’t a flush too). A weak queen would surely check the sizeable pot down.

[Reply]

samo2

I fold. The v is betting 85% of stack, so I believe that you are beat more than 30% of the time. Imo, not a good hand to play from mid, and also why the check the turn?

[Reply]

Pirate21

I want to go back and fold this hand pre-flop. My interest in suited connectors starts dwindling somewhere around 78 and I’m not really that excited by hitting the bottom end of the flush. I’d have preferred to lead on the turn to a) try to define v’s hand and b) avoid v hitting flush on the river if he has one spade. Since none of that happened, I’m giving v credit for a better flush and saving my $2k for another hand.

[Reply]

_CityBorn_

i call. its not that im thrilled about it, but i just think the villain could have other hands and not put us on something as strong as a flush here. our line definitely looks weak, and the river 7 could make a straight out of a 4/5 up and down draw. its not too hard to believe that a set raises here too, representing a straight or flush and thinking his set could be good anyway. all of this is giving him credit as a thinking player. we dont have a read, so its hard to say. we have a flush here though, and the odds of another flush in the hand are slim…..and thats the only hand that beats us. tough to lay it down.

[Reply]

The Online Sports Bettor

I called here. I put the villain on a larger range than a flush.

In a 8 handed game, I fold this preflop and avoid this situation.

[Reply]

livohim

close your eyes, make the call and hope he is on a set…

[Reply]