99 considering a four bet, no limit tournament

DailyHandQuiz

Game type: $100 1R 1A, Full Tilt Poker
Stage of tourney: ITM
Your image: TAG
Opponent’s image: Both solid players
Your hand: 9♦9♣

The setup: You’re sitting well in this $100 one rebuy one addon tournament on Full Tilt Poker when the following hand comes up. You’re dealt 99 in the SB. UTG raises to about 2.5x. He’s been very active UTG and is a solid player. UTG+1 thinks for a bit and then 3 bets for a bit under 3x the UTG raise. The table folds to you in the SB.

What’s your play? Would your answer change if you had TT? How about JJ?

Loading ...

3 COMMENTS (Jump to comment form)

DHQ Staff

UTG isn’t a factor in this hand, except for the small percentage of the time he wakes up with QQ plus . The question is UTG 1.

Because of UTGs lightness, UTG 1 has also broadened their range significantly. The problem is, I don’t know that you really have much fold equity vs UTG 1s stack. Your raise will give them 2-1 or so to call, plus they’d have a fairly short stack if they folded, meaning that you’re likely getting called with their entire range.

What is that range? I don’t think there’s a ton of air in it, since they’ve pretty much cuffed themselves to a call, but I do think they expect to get folds a lot of the time, so you can include hands that aren’t strong but do ok vs the four betting range of UTG – think suited broadway and maybe even some smaller suited connectors. I think 55 plus, AJs plus, KQs plus, JTs, and AQo plus is a pretty fair range. 99 is a dead flip against that range.

What are your odds? Assume the player UTG 1 just shipped. That would leave you calling 63k to win 78k or so; roughly 1.2-1.

It’s probably pretty close to neutral when you consider that the UTG player does wake up with AA now and again. If you think UTG 1 plays all pairs this way (or can fold hands you’re racing with), that’s probably enough to tip this to a bet. You get about a 5% equity bump from TT and another 5% or so from JJ, making both fairly easy ships.

What actually happened: You folded and UTG folded.

[Reply]

Richard P

The small reraise coupled with the fact it’s over 25% of his stack and he only started with an M of 9 says to me that he has a hand he wants action with. The added complication of UTG means that I’m folding nines here. Would also fold tens but ship jacks. Obviously can’t just call with any of them.

[Reply]

Rowdy

Extra quiz today?

I think there’s chance you can UTG1 to fold – but i don’t think it’s a big chance given his stack size. I would say he has got a good hand most of the time, making this a fold for me.

I’m with Richard on shoving with JJ+

[Reply]