
Game type: $150 freezeout, Full Tilt Poker
Stage of tourney: Early stages
Your image: Strong
Opponent’s image: No read
Your hand: A♣J♣
The setup: You’ve been playing aggressively and also running well so far in this tournament and have built a strong stack. This hand you’re dealt AJs UTG and you raise to a bit over 2x. You get called by the CO and small blind, and flop well:
5♣6♦2♣
The SB thinks a second and the leads for pot. It’s your action. What’s your play?
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Let’s start by considering what you’d do if the SB shoved. At that point you’d be calling roughly 2700 to win 3300, or just about 1.2-1. If you assume most of your outs are good, that’s a fair price. If you’re only drawing to your flush outs, it’s less than the price you’d like.
So, the question becomes: do you have any fold vig? I think you do, actually. I think you’ll see a lot of people make this kind of bet with a small overpair or maybe even top or middle pair. While the bet is substantial, the SB still has plenty of chips behind – about 25 BBs – and shouldn’t have a hard time putting you on a strong hand.
Add to that the fact that every once in awhile they’re on a weaker flush draw or straight draw, and I think this becomes a viable raise.
What actually happened: You raised, the CO folded and the SB thought for a bit before calling with 44. You hit your flush on the turn and won the pot.
[Reply]
The small blind is
- leading as a bluff because small card hit and maybe nobody connected with them
- leading with a small overpair (88, 99) or top pair no kicker (as if he has 76)
- with a straight draw or a flush draw as a semibluff
- with a set hoping for a raise
The first three situations are good for us, the fourth isn’t hopeless, we have outs. Considering his stack I raise and put him all-in.
[Reply]
If we’re running well then why not raise small UTG with AJ?! On this flop with these chip sticks this is an easy shove for me. Unless SB or cutoff has flopped 2 pair or trips we are obv mathematically ahead with enough fold vig not to have to race against an overpair.
[Reply]
A set would probably not donk bet the flop and 34 is unlikely to have called pre-flop, so the SB most likely has a pair and a draw or an overpair. JJ-KK would likely have re-raised pre-flop so there’s a good chance your Jack outs are good.
Let the villain make the tough decision and put them all in.
[Reply]
I think the most logical hand for villain to have is an overpair (something like 88-66). If that’s the case, you’ve got 15 outs twice. With those outs, the pot size and our big stack, I love the shove. Put him all in and make him decide for his tournament life.
[Reply]
I agree with the previous posts … biggest fear would be a set, but I don’t think the v would lead, instead more likely c-r all-in. Probably has an overpair, Kx clubs, 78s. Hero has an excellent chance vs. that range. Still in good shape if the draw falls short.
[Reply]
Some of your comments are terribe.
small blind calls preflop…depending what kind of player he is to put him on a hand may b difficult as he could be allong the lines of thinkin i’ve already put half a big blind in and i will call a min raise….the player in the cut off is very likely to have a more respectable hand ie. 2 high cards hoping to see a flop, or, since the action has folded around to him he might decide to smooth call with a big hand ie kings/aces.
so the SB bets the pot…. he could be trying to shut down the pot with hands such as; ace5 ace6, top pair with a range of kickers, a weak over pair- 7′s 8′s 9′s.
it is unlikely he has a set because its a stong bet…… 2 pairs is unlikely also but it again depends what kind of player he is.
i would re-raise as this will tell me more about the player in the cut off reguarding his possible big hand and if the SB decides to just call we see the next card for the nuts if the board dosnt pair but we dont put the sb on a set..and he probably would reraise back with 2 pairs so if a club were to come on the turn i would think i had the nuts.
if the turn comes 10 or higher no club and the SB checks i would through out a continuation bet to get him her* off their weak pair- this is given the player in the cutt of has folded and out of the hand.
basically if the cut off player has folded and the sb just calls, then cheks on the turn i would be confident that i will pick up this pot, say- if the turn card was a king queen or jack
millar
[Reply]
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