
Game type: $100 One Rebuy One Addon 6-max, Full Tilt
Stage of tourney: Rebuy period closed
Your image: TAG
Opponent’s image: Seems fairly average
Your hand: A♣T♣
The setup: You’ve been fairly aggressive as this six max tournament moves toward the bubble, but haven’t had many pots contested after the flop. This hand you get ATc in the small blind. The table folds to you and you limp. The BB raises to about 2.5x and you call. you flop a decent draw:
5♣9♦J♣
You lead for 655 into 1372, expecting to get raised. Instead, the BB flats. You improve your draw on the turn:
8♥
You lead for 2250 into 2682 and are surprised when the BB flats again. You improve on the river, although not in the way you intended:
A♦
It’s your action. What’s your play?
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Missing the DHQ explanation ?
[Reply]
Although flat calling would mostly be interpreted as a very strong hand, in this case a set on the flop or overpair, but it doesnt add up, because opp would have to raise the turn with all the dangerous draws out there. Same goes for hands including a J, but it might be some sort of weird pot control attempt from weak player.
KQ of clubs could explain the first call, but not the second one. QT would explain the first call and could be a dangerous slowplay on the turn, but unlikely.
A very likely hand is TT, which calls the half pot bet with just one overcard on the flop and then improves to straight draw on the turn. Call on the flop is even more justified for opp given our aggresive image post flop.
Conclusion. Leading out won’t make opp fold any hand that has us beat, and sometimes might get a call from TT or KJ, although not likely. If opp bets after our check, well, I think it’s a judgement call, but I would look him up.
[Reply]
Two flat calls smell mediocre hand from a bad player or monster hand from a tricky player. In both case I like the check call. If I have to suppose, I put him on a hand like JT or T9 suited.
[Reply]
Why would we limp call pre flop and then lead on this flop expecting to get raised? Makes no sense to me. With an effective M of 14 on the flop i would go for the check raise all in to take down a nice pot without having to hit or at worst see the turn and river with 9 clean outs. The way it’s played we have no idea if ahead now on the river. I think I would put him on the J and make a small value bet here like a third of his remaining stack. If opponent then shoves and we know he’s not a total donk then I think we could fold it having realized we played the whole hand as badly as we could.
[Reply]
If we lead out again, will any worse hands call? We’ve led on all three streets showing serious strength. If the villain puts us on a busted straight or flush draw he might call, but what do we beat? QQ or KJ would have been played very poorly. TT or T9 make sense. Ace-x is unlikely as we’re only beating A2-A7 (minus A5) and none of those hands should have called this far.
Will better hands fold? I don’t see a better ace folding, nor would any two pair or better.
The villain’s range is strongly polarized. It is very likely to be a strong made hand (a straight or a ballsy set) or a busted straight/flush combo draw. We lose to the good hands and the busted draws will fold.
On the other hand, checking might induce a worse hand to bluff/value bet to knock out our likely busted draw. I’m not planning to fold at this point, and if we’re not going to fold we should at least attempt to extract some money from worse hands, so I voted for check/call. It has the same downsides as leading but with a better upside.
[Reply]
In my mind, the only hands villain could have that make sense here are TT, A9 or QT. Two of those hands are beating us and we are beating one of those hands. If you check, you’re hoping V checks behind. If he doesn’t, he’ll almost certainly shove, giving us about 2.75-1 to call. It would be very hard to ignore those pot odds. But if you bet here, you’re probably only getting called by hands that are beating you.
Pretty tough situation. I think the best option is to check and call if he shoves, but no option here is incredibly attractive.
[Reply]
Are we really prepared to check call a 60% pot shove with top pair? If we’re not planning on folding then our only concern becomes extracting maximum value from lesser hands which wouldn’t bet. I think there are far more jacks here than busted draws so betting (if ahead) would be +EV. The thing is we have no idea who is ahead which is why I like the third small barrel to get value and prevent being bluffed off if we check and get shoved on.
[Reply]
I voted lead. With Aces I’m not prepared to check/call a shove. In addition to the villain hands already mentioned, believe they could also have QJ. This gave them top pair, an overcard and a draw which may explain the flat calling. I think the lead on the turn was too much – probably would have lead for 1800 with the draws; lead with that same amount on the riv also.
[Reply]
Likely hands are TT, QT, 9T, A9. JJ. No point in leading, he is only going to call when he is ahead. But if we check, we are calling his all-in and win more times than not. So it looks like a check-call.
[Reply]
Voted check-call.. but really when I check I’m hoping for a simple check behind.. thinking I’m more likely for him to go all in if I lead a third time than if I check, and I don’t really want to pay 4200 to see something totally stupid like AK
[Reply]
Marianne productions engage:clod mightily prospectors,Yaqui Albanian?Antarctica
[Reply]
Is it me or is everyone overlooking the fact that our opponent is almost all-in?
$4103 (BB’s stack)
-$25 (ante)
-$600 (raise to 2.5x)
-$655 (flop bet)
-$2250 (turn bet)
__________________
$573 behind
That being said… Does it really matter?
I would shove so that he is forced to make a decision for his stack.
[Reply]
Opponent’s not almost all in. That $4k total is a running total.
[Reply]
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