Flopped trips facing a weak lead, six max MTT

Game type: $100 Rebuy 6 max tournament, FTP
Stage of tourney: Nearing bubble
Your image: Tight
Opponent’s image: Fairly tight
Your hand: A♣K♦
The setup: You’ve been playing pretty tight at this table due to a combination of a lack of cards and frequent action in front of you. You won the previous hand with an all in bet on the river that wasn’t called.
This hand you raise it up with AK and get a called in the BB, who has also been pretty tight. You flop trips:
K♣2♦K♠
The BB leads out for 2k. You don’t have any real history with them.
What’s your play?
11.20.08 / 12am
I like calling here, because you want to build the pot as much as possible and not scare your opponent away.
11.20.08 / 2am
Call. You are in position with two more betting rounds to build the pot if opp slows.
11.20.08 / 3am
I like the staff analysis. If he has the case king all the money will go into the pot anyway. If he has a middle pair or a deuce he’ll check-call the turn and perhaps pay us at the river. If he has nothing let him catch something on the turn.
11.20.08 / 3am
I seem to be in the minority here.. but with the bubble approaching, even with a made hand and a rainbow on the board, i don’t wanna leave even backdoor options to beat me.. i’ll settle for the pot as it is if he’s got absolutely nothing here
The weak lead can also be seen pretty easily as a drawing bet, esp. if you call here and he leads again
I know I’m not supposed to be all that worried about getting into the money, but my inclination is that i don’t even wanna see some kind of random backdoor draw hit with something like a10 of clubs
To me the difference between jumping up to 58k in chips here is not that significant compared to just taking down the pot and having 38k
It says you have almost no history with this guy and I don’t wanna chance it regardless.. i’d swear i get into trouble more often with “made” hands than with drawing hands etc.
Raise it up, hope he’s got the case king, but not k2
11.20.08 / 4am
The only thing he could be drawing to on the turn is a 2 outer with a pp (if opp has the case king he would surely check). If he hits one of those on the next card then it wasn’t meant to be our tourney. The prize ladder would have to be near on horizontal for me to take this one down on this flop, although a min raise back could look like a resteal and potentially get QQ - JJ to shove. But then I would have expected a hand that good to 3 bet oop to a min raise pre flop. He most likely is leading with a medium pair which we are currently crushing.
11.20.08 / 4am
If he’s made a probing bet, I don’t think he’s going any further if you flat him on the flop IP after the pre-flop raise. Any action you give him indicates he’s beat. If you want to get any money out of him, a small probing raise is the only thing that has a chance of getting more money into the pot. The mini-raise would give him about 5:1 to continue. That might price him in to continue.
11.20.08 / 6am
if you raise him, he is defo folding, you dont want him to fold as you have effectively the nuts, so easy call
11.20.08 / 6am
Pot Raise trip K’s on the flop is at least worhty of that! Couldn’t insult those Cowboys like that, nope they deserve the respect!
No doubt whatsoever …Raise, heck yea he can fold, that little pot would go nice in my stack!
Good Luck !
11.20.08 / 7am
I voted call for all the reasons the staff and others indicate. Try and build the pot slowly.
11.20.08 / 9am
Wait, why does Staff say this opponent is weak? The analysis says he’s is just “fairly tight”. We don’t know if he’s weak or strong, unless there’s some information we’re not getting.
I think you have three options here. The obvious one is to just call and keep massaging the pot. This is the perfect move if you think your opponent has medium pair; he might keep building the pot with a medium pair. The second option is a small raise, say 3x. This probably isn’t the best option in this scenario, but against somebody who’s pretty loose, it could work. The third move is to shove! The only reason this option is on the table is because you won the previous hand by shoving without showing down. A shove here looks really suspicious, and a medium pair could be looking to “pick off a bluff”. The only way a shove works here is if your opponent is smart and perceptive, and you’ve seen him call big bets before. But don’t forget about this option; in the right circumstance it could be a perfect play.
However, for this situation, I like the call. I think any raise scares this guy off. Call and try to win the maximum here.
11.20.08 / 9am
In position, I just call him all the way to the river. Hopeing he hangs himself.
11.20.08 / 9am
I would slow play this hand all day. Nothing out there to really scare us expect pocket deuces but that’s just one of those times when he does have it, it’s time to get up…LOL.
Seems like a probing bet too me with a medium pocket pair. Play as slow as you can to get as much as you can.
11.20.08 / 11am
I voted fold, betting into the original raiser is strong, he must have deuces
11.20.08 / 12pm
Easy Smooth Call, get the most value out of your hand here.
11.20.08 / 7pm
Why is there not a fold option, I think we’re drawing to 3 ace-outs. I don’t like this spot one bit..
11.21.08 / 5am
I voted call, but I really like Rhycar’s shove idea, as it is probably the best idea to make medium pair pay. Ideally we would want to shove either very fast or after long thinking time.
12.27.08 / 5pm
I call here and reraise the turn. If I reraise here, there’s too much distance between the flop and then river for them and they worry about pot control and fold any A, pairs 77 and below, and sticks around with 88-AA.
Every time I’ve reraised a weak lead on board K x K in position, the opponent has folded. I get a little value with calling the flop, calling the turn, and when checked to me, raising the river as they have correctly presumed I have slow-played a monster.
By far where I’ve gotten the most value is to call the flop then reraise the turn, because they reason, “Why doesn’t he just call and let me fire again on the river? After all, he wants me to put my chips in, not scare me off. Plus, if he had a K, he doesn’t have to worry about his hand getting drawn out on as trip kings is a pretty strong pair and I wasn’t drawing from the dry board on the flop.”
A…then you are claiming to have the A, while that might make up a good part of your opponent’s range.
Q… Your opponent will think you have a missed A, so if they have a Q, K, good A, or pocketpair, they will come along
J… Your opponent will probably believe you
10… same as Q
9-2… You get action from any pocket pair as they will believe your bluffing.
1.1.09 / 8pm
In most cases I would raise and hope for a reraise…only way you win any money.
Given that the Villain is fairly tight I may try to squeeze out an extra couple thou, just to mix up my play. Hate to get predicatble, you know.

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11.19.08 / 11pm
I think this lead is almost always a steal attempt / weak hand probing. If you were up against an aggressive opponent, I think I’d like a raise here - you could maybe make it look like a probe raise and maybe induce them to come back over the top.
However, against a weak opponent, I think I just play the hand very slow and hope they either catch something on the turn or decide to pay off with a medium pair. I think you’ll have a hard time getting value out of a tight player here, and if they do have the case K, it shouldn’t be tough to get all the money in on later streets.
What actually happened: You raised to 6200 and the BB folded.