Overpair on scary board, no limit tournament

DailyHandQuiz

Game type: Poker Stars Sunday Million
Stage of tourney: ITM
Your image: Fairly active
Opponent’s image: No strong read
Your hand: T♣T♦

The setup: You’ve been pretty active the last few orbits. You’re approaching the second level of money in the PokerStars Sunday Million. This hand you get TT UTG and open. The hijack calls and the rest of the table folds. You flop an overpair:

3♠2♦6♥

You bet 24000 into 28000. Your opponent calls. The turn is the 4♠.

What’s your play?

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7 COMMENTS (Jump to comment form)

DHQ Staff

On the flop, your opponent is either slowplaying a bigger pair, floating, connected cards or playing a pair 22-88.

Given your raise and the stacks, there’s no reason to slowplay an overpair here (or before the flop, really), so I think you can largely discount those.

As for floating, there might be some Ax hands opponent is in there with, but otherwise, not too much he’s likely to be playing.

That leaves 22-88, which make a lot of sense – they would all probably call preflop, and would probably call on the flop too. I’d make the argument that the sets would have played a little faster on the flop, seeing a chance to get you committed with a medium pair before a scary turn can peel off.

The connectors also make a lot of sense, although you’d expect pair and gutshot combos to raise on the flop. 65 obviously gets there, while 76 does not.

Anyhow, with that range I think it’s a close call between leading and going for the check raise. Without a strong read and the pot being what it is, I’d probably lead just to avoid awkward river situations.

What actually happened: You bet 50k and your opponent folded.

[Reply]

Richard P

Lead to try and end it there. You dont want to let hands like AJ or KQ get there on the river. If v has pocket fives or a set then good luck to him.

[Reply]

Landorf

Agreed. Lead to shut it down early, because even on a draw the hero’s active image and much deeper stack should coax out a fold.

[Reply]

Rhycar

Lead for 3/4 of the pot. Get those hands like AQ of spades to fold. The only hands you’re really scared of here are 66-22 (A5 might have called your pre-flop raise, but it’s less likely than small pairs. Your lead will usually get overcards or flush seekers to call, and I think that’s what you want right here.

[Reply]

_CityBorn_

The only thing that makes this a dangerous spot is that you opened utg, and therefore are pretty unlikely to have a 4…which means an aggressive player might raise if you lead, even without a strong hand, to put you to the test. Despite the risk, I think checking effectively surrenders the hand and Im not willing to do that…I still think weve got the best of it. I lead, and hate life if my opponent raises.

[Reply]

_CityBorn_

oops…meant you are unlikely to have a 5.

[Reply]

Tripps

Funny. I had almost this exact scenario the other day. I had JJ, lead the all-baby rainbow flop and got called by a big-ish stack. Turn was a blank and I fired 1/2 pot. Big-ish stack shoves. It’s just so easy to figure you are beat in that spot, so I laid ‘em down. They had AA btw, and slow played flop/turn.

[Reply]