May 17, 2012

Daily Hand Quiz

DailyHandQuiz

Game type: $65 buy in no limit tournament, Full Tilt Poker
Stage of tourney: Moving toward bubble
Avg stack: ~6k
Your image: Fairly tight
Opponent’s image: No strong read
Your hand: A♠T♥

The setup: You’re cut through about three quarters of the field in this no limit tournament. You’ve been pretty quiet lately and your stack has dwindled to a below average level, but it’s still playable.

This hand the table folds to you on the button and you raise to 400 with ATo. The SB folds and the BB calls. You flop top pair:

A♣3♠9♣

The BB leads at the 880 pot with a 480 bet. What’s your play?

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13 COMMENTS  (Jump to comment form)

DHQ Staff


To start off, I think you’re committed to this hand on the flop. You’d expect the BB to reraise with AK and AQ, and probably AJ as well. Anyhow…

The bet could be a stab with air, a probe bet with a mediocre hand, or a probe bet with a draw. It could also be a strong made hand, but in that case all the money’s going in no matter what, so we don’t need to worry about it.

If it’s a stab with air, then you’re likely to lose your opponent with any raise. If you call, there’s a chance they’ll take another stab at it, but it’s going to be tough for them to continue on this fairly dry board.

If it’s a probe bet with a mediocre hand, they will probably fold most of their range to a raise. If you shove, you might look desperate, but it’s still a pretty large bet and they’re going to be hard press to call light. If you call, they will probably slow down, but there’s a good chance you’ll be able to get some value on the turn or river from your hand.

This is a pretty dry board, so I don’t think you’re facing a draw very often. I think opponent actually behaves just about the same way with a draw, with the obvious exception that you’re unlikely to get value on further streets.

It looks like you should probably just flat call this and take the chance that you let your opponent hit one of their (on average) 4 outs or so.

What actually happened: You shoved and the BB folded.

[Reply]

KetszeriCs


I’d call and make a move on the turn. I think my shove will be called only by better hands and all other would fold. By calling I ffer the villain a chance to make a second stab and if I shove then, the air still would fold, but some weaker than my TP mediocre kicker might stay in.

[Reply]

Rowdy


I don’t like the call. While it’s true he probably has nothing he might have a pocket or one pair or the draw, in which case one of his outs appearing means you are dead, and it’s getting close to the money too. Also, I don’t see you getting a tonne of extra chips off him even if he has nothing then hits a card – not enough to warrant the risk anyway.

I would still like to get a bit of value from the hand though so I voted raise small to try and keep a weaker hand in, but still charging for the next card.

[Reply]

Cristiano


Call and bet the position on the turn

[Reply]

_CityBorn_


I hate these spots. He could have anything. Ultimately, Im still happy to take the pot down if hes got air and folds to a raise, and I’d like to get something more out of him, so Im going to raise small and hope hes either drawing, or hit a weaker pair and wants to hang around. I shove the turn regardless. Last thing I need is some random 2 pair hitting and I have no one to blame but myself for slow playing 1 pair (which is rarely a good idea anyway)

[Reply]

Rhycar


I definitely don’t like the all-in or fold move here. Pot odds are too good for a fold, and the pot is too small for an all-in. I don’t like calling either, you learn nothing about your opponent. I like the small raise, it gives him the opportunity to fold, call with a worse hand, or reraise you if he’s hit his set. Plus, a raise tells villain you are pretty strong. Getting more info is important. Put in a small raise and see how he reacts.

[Reply]

samo2


It’s close between call or shove. BB likely does not have a better ace or 99. 33 would kill you. Since we’re approaching the bubble, I’d call, not wanting to risk my stack of ~18x BB. Could understand shoving since you’re likely ahead.

[Reply]

Utherrex


most likely for his small bet…2 clubs, weaker ace or a nine. Odds are in our favor in any of these probably scenarios.. I let him pay little more with a small raise and shoving if no club cames in the turn…

[Reply]

Chad Gerson


You’ve got a roughly 14M stack which is still playable, but what if you flat call and a scare card comes on the turn? You’re passively letting your stack dwindle.

Fold is not even a bad option, but if you are going to put in any more money it should be on a shove. You’ll either go out near the bubble which sucks or you’ll have a nice playable stack to try to make it deep into the money. Play to win.

[Reply]

LV_Flop_lag


This is fold or shove, a min raise leaves you with 2910, and the pot is, 1840. If the opponent calls and then shoves on the turn you have a hard time getting away unless it is the flush, at which point you are in trouble chips wise. By shoving the opponent has to have a hand that is much better than yours AK, maybe AQ. Calling is not good, because there are only a few cards that you want to see, Ts or Td. Drawing pretty thin and chips too low to play around with lets see another card and I can milk you for a little more.

[Reply]

McGowish


I’d call. If you shove, you won’t get any more value unless you’re beat or your opponent is poor, and you have a hand you want some value with as you hit.

[Reply]

Dippy


Who is voting fold here? The chances you are beat are incredibly slim. All-in chases away weak hands or draws which you want to get value from – we have half the average stack and need to double up. I go for call and let him lead again on the turn. If he declines to bet the turn then just shove there and then.

[Reply]

Fred


Tough spot…
Shove all in. All in looks like a desperate play, but u are actually pretty strong. Most opponents who call raises out of position slow play sets or two pair w a check raise or a small bet. I would say he has the draw, Axs, K9, Q9, J9s, T9s, K3s, 55 . In these tourneys, the big stack often gets ultra aggressive toward the bubble so u have to be willing to gamble a little.

[Reply]

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