Top pair out of position, high stakes no limit

Game type: 50/100 No Limit on Full Tilt
Your image: Possibly tilting, just lost a stack a few hands ago
Opponent’s image: Aggressive
Your hand: K♣Q♦
The setup: You just had your aces carcked a couple of orbits ago and may look steamy after dropping a stack.. This hand you get KQo in the CO and when the table folds to you, you make it $350 to go. The button flats and the blinds fold. You flop top pair:
3♦Q♠2♠
You bet $750 into $850. You get raised to $2,112. You call and the turn brings a T♥. You check and the button bets $3,999 into $5324. You time down and call. The river:
5♣.
What’s your play?
7.23.08 / 12am
I voted lead strong.. but was definitely between that or check/call
Frankly if somebody’s shoving into me for my whole stack on that board I’m probably going away.. it sickens me that people make calls with one pair for $55k pots — to me that’s what led me to say lead strong; I don’t wanna deal with making the call the staff had to make in this spot — if you’re leading about 8k-10k into this pot he’s not no reason to shove over you unless he’s got it
7.23.08 / 1am
a check looks like a busted flush draw that gave up…if he has a Queen he should check behind because he can’t extract more money…but if he has nothing (a busted flush draw or complete air) he may try to steal this pot with a big bet…let’s give him some rope…we could lose some money if he has a weaker queen…but we can bust him if he makes the river bluff…
7.23.08 / 3am
I voted check-call, though I like Sunshines reasoning for betting too.
I think a spade draw would raise the flop a lot and two-pair is unlikely as I doubt he would raise Q10 on the flop.
The only other hands to really worry about are a set of 3’s or 2’s.
I dont think he’ll have these too often and a busted fl draw is his most likely hand. Check-calling a shove with KQ is a bit of a bluff-catcher but it looks good.
With my luck at the moment he would have A4 of spades and hit his gutshot wheel draw ![]()
7.23.08 / 12pm
i diffently would check call now if my opponent were to push in on me i might have to fold there is a straight possiabilty ou the he could be holdin ace 4 or 4 6 and it all depends who the opponent is also is he/she a tight solid player who only bets and plays quality hands is he/she a loose player even tho it may seem im steamin the player your up against and how he plays and also going with your feeling is everything. As soon as i see that potential striaght and im out of position by acting first i would put alot of pressure on him or her as soon as the that flop hit my opponent could be holding ace 4 very easily so the im putting him on the defence immidiatly can’t slow play a hand like that to many ways to get beat , higher kicker ,straight well thank and see you on the table soon
7.23.08 / 1pm
I voted lead small. I think I have the best hand, so its win win for me. If he folds, he never finds out my hand. I may lose the added value of calling a bluff, but like sunshine said, I dont know that I want to have to call a big bluff here with just one pair even on a relatively safe board. Ill take a nice pot without any huge tough river decisions any day. If he calls, Im sure Ive got the best of it and I get the value that might have been lost by allowing him to check behind. If I lead small and he raises, its a problem, but no more of a problem then it wouldve been if I checked and he bet…tough decision, but at least now Ive got a bit more info. The lead here looks like I was stringing him along, but now dont want him to get away from the river without paying. If he raises, he might have a big hand, Ill have to decide…. but if he folds or calls, I made my life easier.
7.23.08 / 4pm
i don’t think he’s re-raising the flop with a worse Q here because there isn’t a single hand that could call such a strong move that wouldn’t have him beat…unless he’s turning it into a bluff.
It’s obvious spades. so check-call.
7.23.08 / 10pm
A little off topic but does anyone offer a rakeback program for Doyle’s Room?
7.28.08 / 4pm
You have played on every street trying to keep the pot small and still thinking your top pair is good. Keeping with the same idea I would check call or make a small block bet, which might freeze up a better hand (AQ, set, straight).
7.28.08 / 4pm
Correction: The block bet would freeze up (hope to) everything but a straight. If he shoves with a straight, in my mind there is nothing you can do and will lose some money with the hand.
10.22.08 / 12am
im still wondering why he checked the turn
10.22.08 / 12am
top pair 2nd best kicker with a steamy image looking like you were trying to steel the bb. OBV ur winning. with the table image you have and the hand nothing can beat u. And i say that because . PP he would re raise PRE. because ur image is loose. so no set. AQ hes prolly re raising u pre. i would never fold this in a million hands. His odds of hitting better then one pair are 30 - 1 -

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7.21.08 / 3pm
There’s plenty of reasons to believe your top pair is still good - your opponent could have been betting with a flush draw, a pair under the Q, or a worse Q. Of those, you’re probably only getting a call out of the worse Q (and possibly 88 or thereabouts) if you bet. Given your image and the flow of the hand, there’s a decent chance that worse Qs will value bet anyway.
With no real added value in betting, and the chance to pick off a bluff if you check, I’m voting check-call.
What actually happened: You checked, the button went all in and you called. He showed a busted spade draw and you took the pot