Archive Pick: Aces vs turn check-raise

View the original quiz here.

What we said then…

Well lets tally up up the good and the bad.

Good: This is a favorable board for you. Some draws are out there but no draws have hit so your opponent could possibly be semi-bluffing. You’re getting 3-1 on your call which is a good price holding AA on a clean board. Your image is aggressive so your opponent’s range is probably larger than usual. The only hand that has you worried is 99. It’s unlikely that they have some kind of 8.

Bad: You’ve been check-raised on the turn with a good price to call which is very often a trappy play with a very strong hand. It seems unlikely that they would not have bet or check-raised you on the flop with a lot of the hands you beat. They know you are playing a lot of hands and they must be worried about you drawing if they’re holding TT-KK.

However, your image may have convinced them to trap you with those hands. Given your great odds and their possible range here I think this is an easy call.

Insta-mash that call button.

He may have 99, 89, 78 or 44. But the range of hands you are currently beating is far greater.

1010+, AsKs, all J10’s. Maybe 6s7s, though the suited connectors seem unlikely as he is a quiet opponent.

And please TELL US WHAT HAPPENED! even the old quiz people are complaining about.. how can you re-post STILL without the answer?

Also, as the staff says, even without putting the opponent on a range that you beat, the odds are far too juicy to ignore.

I go for the call as well.

It is a reraised pot, a quiet opponent probably has a strong hand when calling the 3-bet. Only likely hands for him to beat you with are 99 or perhaps even 88. But a hand like KK or perhaps QQ seems more likely, even though villain didnt raise preflop or on flop.

I must admit that I think the 3-bet preflop was too low. I would usually repop a 8$ raise to 30$, so I guess a 7$ bet should at least be raised to 27$, perhaps even more. Especially considering how deep we are. If villain has 99, we cant even blame him for playing his hand for setmining, calling as little as 15$ to take a 340$ stack when hitting. If we made it 27-28$ preflop, the setvalue would be more doubvious.

The turn bet has been a bit too large…70$ would have been enough leaving us with a chance to get out. Now the pot odds are just too good. I think he has 99 but there’s a chance he’s semibluffing (JT of spades?) or pushing a losing hand (QQ-KK). Call and pray

JT of spades don’t play like that. with a combo draw he’s almost certainly c/r that flop, especially given your aggresive image. i think there is a 50% chance that he has 99 here. but given the odds you still probably cant lay this down

Easy call, he’s got nothing but a bunch of outs. This is exactly why you establish an aggressive image.

Agreed with the comments so far. You have to call here. First off, I think I’m winning this hand. I don’t have a good enough read to know for sure, but this feels like an aggressive draw play by villain. If he had 99 or something goofy like A8 and was slow playing, I’d expect that he’d wait until the river to push. Secondly, my odds are favorable. And if I lose, I buy right back into this table. I see too many aggressive players suddenly slow play good hands, which makes it much easier to read their hands. With a showdown of AA after playing aggressively, I’ll be making my other aggressive plays that much more difficult to read.

If he has 10 10-KK why is he afraid of us drawing now, and not on the flop? I fail to see any logical reason as to why he’d let a cheap card fall on the turn, and then all of a sudden scramble to protect (and give us a juicy 3 to 1 while he’s doing it).

Something stinks like 99.

Quads or 99 seem a fairly obvious read but by no means definite since your opponent indicates a strong possibility of a high pair with his preflop call of your 3bet. With 3 to 1 odds you only have to be wrong about this read 1 in 4 times to make this a profitable call, so a call is an easy decision.

what happened?!