AJ vs a re-raise, WSOP satellite

If the BB is an average player, I they have a pretty tight re-raise range here, because they don’t appear have a ton of fold vig at first glance.

I know you’re getting 2-1, and in a non-satellite scenario that would make this a solid call, but your chips are just worth a lot more here. I don’t know that slightly under 2-1 is a good enough price, even though you’re probably about 60-40 against his likely range. Fold and you’ll still have a reasonable stack to steal with; raise and lose a race and you’re crippled.

What actually happened: You called and the BB showed 33. The flop brought an ace and you held up to win the pot.

I would either shove pre. Or fold to the re-shove in this case.

I would put AJ at a flip at the very best and at worst dominated.

AK, AQ, AA are all a big part of his range as is any pair.

I don’t think I’m against a monster hand…with AA or KK he would (should!) try to milk us not scary us! I think I’m againts a medium pair (99-TT) that doesn’t want to see a flop with overcards. So I think I’m coinflip with good odds and a reputation to defend. If I lay down this hand I can’t steal from cutoff/button for many rings…in this fase of the tournament I think it’s VITAL to be able to steal…so I call and if I win this coinflip I’ve a nice stack and respect from the table…I call

You have to call. Its not an easy call but you have to do it. 12k actually hurts to lose, your stack is dwindling, and you need chips. Youre probably a coinflip here. Maybe dominated, but he’s shortstacked and your raise is not exactly intimidating (2.3 times the BB?) meaning he could even have something like KQs, figure you peg him as tight and dont want to risk getting crippled. Most likely is he’s got a mid, small pair and doesnt want to see scare cards and get bluffed or outdrawn. If youre “quiet” with a dwindling stack, and folding after putting in pf raises, youre toast anyway, the blinds alone will eat you up. Make the call and hope you win a race.

fold and pick a better spot! if you fold you still have 12 BB, if you call and brick youve got 1 BB left. easy fold IMO

Nothing easy about this. Very close spot imo.

Anyway, I go for the call. We are only told that we are fairly quiet, not nittishly quiet. From a late mid position, the initial raise should look like a steal. We could have a very vide range I guess.
I know BB doesnt have a stack to expect much fold equity, and I agree that that makes it scary. Still, he could think he has some, due to our low opening raise and the fact that heros stack is of the size he could hurt the most.
I am not a great satellite player, but 100 players to go doesn’t seems close to the bubble to me, with a 13Bb stack in a game with antes. The antes makes a big difference here.

I hate the raise in the first place. You know the short stack is in the big blind and if they have anything, there’s a good chance they’ll go all in. If you’re not prepared for that, then don’t bother raising in the first place.

As the hand has been played, I’d be torn. I don’t want to get any shorter than I am, but what is really the difference? I gotta think that the BB has a bigger than normal range. If I fold, I’ll have a lot of work, but if I call and lose, I need to play very loose. Either way, I’m going to have to get cards or lucky to get the prize. Also, either way, I’m still in. At this point, I wouldn’t see that much difference in my potential stacks, so I’d make the call, especially since I’m likely to push all in with the same cards later if I fold, but I wouldn’t be thrilled.

This is a no brainer. You people analyze the situation too much AA-KK… are you crazy? that is kooler like. This guy will get any pair in here. He is looking to build his stack. I don’t agree with how some people want to play a satellite. If you have more chips … you have more cushion during the “grind period” of the satellite… Do you want to grind 10 bb down to 5 even 3 bb … Hoping to make the satellite seat? In satellites you want to accumulate a lot of chips… so you can wear down other who do not have them. In a normal tournament the main goal is to stay in. In the satellite your looking just to win your seat. Aggressive players take AJ in this spot. His RR range is all over the board. He could easily have a hand like A8A9 …any pair. I run AJ

Well the preflop raise was terrible in my opinion, I mean you have just over 12xBB, and with the antes so high, its pretty much a push/fold situation. If you choose to raise then raise to 3x or higher and prepare to call any all ins, or don’t raise in the first place.

As played I am folding since I hate to be in a situation like this

Opponents range:
AJ+
77+
Keepin it simple
Assigning
1st 30% for JJ/QQ/KK/AA
2nd 30% for TT and down
3rd 30% for AQ/AK
4th 10% for a bluff

1st range 7 wins of 30
2nd range 13 wins of 30
3rd range 7 wins of 30
4th range 7 wins of 10
Total of 34 wins of 100 or 2 to 1
I’m getting my 2 to 1 odds so I’m calling
I’m making the correct call based on my read
If i lose, that’s poker.
But if i win i’m using my new image to my advantage of a bit of a wreckless player

In a cashgame this is a clear call but here in the satelite the situation is different.
Calling and losing is disastrous and calling and winning doesnt give us near double a chance to get ITM and that IS the goal (not making hero 60-40 calls)
I’m looking to survive so fold and find a better spot to steal some blinds (moving allin instead of making miniraises as we only have 12bb now).

I wouldnt have raised AJo with a shortstack in the blind in a satelite in the first place,though.