Tourney / NL

Middle pair facing a small flop lead, Poker Stars Sunday Million

DailyHandQuiz

Game type: Poker Stars Sunday Million
Stage of tourney: ITM, 110 / 7112 remain
Avg stack: 600k
Your image: A little aggressive
Opponent’s image: No strong read
Your hand: J♠T♠

This hand comes from actual gameplay in yesterday’s Sunday Million between iapetus and 11razorback; you’ll be standing in for iapetus

The setup: You’re getting a little short deep in the money of the Sunday Million. This hand you’re folded to in the CO and you make it a little shy of 3x to go. Button folds, the SB calls and the BB folds. You flop middle pair and not much else:

5♣Q♥T♥

SB leads for 50k into about 190k.

What’s your play?

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12 COMMENTS  (Jump to comment form)

DHQ Staff
5.18.08 / 8pm

This bet doesn’t make a whole lot of sense with a draw, as it cuffs someone to call but doesn’t offer any fold vig. It could be read as a trap bet, except neither of you are really deep relative to pot. The board is so draw-heavy that a medium strength hand would probably want to defend a bit more. So, that leaves this as sometimes being one of the above, but more often as a stab at the pot with nothing or a mediocre hand. You’re doing pretty well against a weighted range like the one described above, and you have outs and decent odds if you’re up against the strong end of it (or if you’re just wrong). I vote shove.

What actually happened: iapetus shoved and 11razorback called with an open-ended straight draw. The turn completed the straight and 11 won the hand.

kaimano
5.19.08 / 1am

I call and if the turn is not intimidating I shove. I don’t like shoving here, I want to give me a chance to survive if my opponent shoves on a dangerous turn card.

Tirppa
5.19.08 / 3am

Call and reevaluate the turn.

Bado27
5.19.08 / 4am

I agree with the comments above. Small bet does not have any fold EQ but was used as a blocking bet. Pushing on the turn after a blank doesn’t price the draws in as closely as a push on the flop.

_CityBorn_
5.19.08 / 7am

I also voted to call and reevaluate on the turn. A flat call here can seem scary or confusing to any number of hands he might hold, and you can get a much better read based on how he plays out on the turn.

His flop bet could be a blocking bet, or it might be a “please raise me” bet. Youll have a much better idea where you stand based on the turn card, and turn play from villain.

Chad Gerson
5.19.08 / 10am

Fold. With your stack you don’t have the luxury to call and reevaluate. You need to shove or fold. If he’s not beating you now, he’s got to many draws to make it a comfortable gamble. Wait for your spot and maybe meanwhile you’ll move up in the money.

Anonymous
5.20.08 / 3am

agreed with Chad - calling is too much of your stack. Make your read, if he’s got nothing or a little something, shove.

teddy
5.20.08 / 5pm

i think he shouldve folded the j10 preflop so that he wouldnt be in such a sticky situation but now he has no choice but to push here

Paul McGreevy
5.21.08 / 9am

fold. save your chips for a better spot. earn more prize money while your waiting. reraise all in with big ace or mid pair+ preflop. If it doesnt come take your shot when your forced to.

IronFrog
5.23.08 / 5am

I put the SB on 18 possible hands, of which 6 of his hands are winning. However, if i raise i’m gaining fold equity and i believe I can narrow that down to 4 hands calling my raise with a better hand.

Nerdy21
5.25.08 / 8am

I agree with folding preflop. But you found your way in to it. Your image is ‘aggresive’ so the one opponent may put you on a weaker hand. J 10 suited in the CO position is ok, but that flop really didnt help. 2 hearts AND a straight draw possible. Opponent has both you’re 50/50. bad spot. FOLD FOLD FOLD.

iapetus
7.12.08 / 9pm

My opponent had previously bet small post flop as he did in this pot, and when he got reraise he folded everytime. I think this information made it easier to make the all-in decision.

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