Pocket pair on a draw-heavy board, high stakes no limit

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While it’s tempting to make a hero pick off here, I think you should consider folding. This is one of those hands where the math really isn’t on your side for bluff catching.

The basic problem is that when you’re ahead, you’re probably not that far ahead. Your opponent is likely to have anywhere from 6 to 12 outs (and the way this hand is played, that range is probably distributed heaviest toward the top end). If you make a standard raise, you can’t deny good odds to most draws and you’ll be in an awkward spot on the river. If you shove, you’re investing an additional 16k to win 7k, meaning that you have to be confident you’ll get a fold almost 2.5 times for every time you get called.

If there weren’t another street of play or you had a hand that had more options to improve, I wouldn’t mind playing on, but this seems like one to go ahead and let go of.

What actually happened: OneUponAStar shoved and I Win Flips called, showing 76 for trips. No 7 on the river and I Win took down the pot.

he may be just messing with you, but if he’s willing to put this many bigs in with what you to believe is a likely bluff then there will be better spots.
His raise is so good because it forces you to make a decision for all of your chips while only costing him 3k, so when he has you, get gets all of it, but when he’s bluffing he gets off cheap.
You don’t need trips to play here, but JJ semme like about the minimum for me.

On a different note, I would’ve come in stronger pre-flop. A raise to $444,- with blinds being 100-200 is a bit weak in my opinion. I Win Flips, being the BB, can call with almost anything, since he’s allready in the pot, so the call doesn’t give you any information.
I would raise 3 or 4 times the blind, so $600-800. If somebody calls t
hat, it gives you so much more info on the hand.

With a check raise, then a big lead out bet, I think you better be pretty confident your 7’s are gonna hold, or hes on a monster bluff, to go any further with this hand. Fold.

It’s high stakes, and those guys bluff and push like crazy.. but this one smells and stinks and has a bad odor too. Fold

fold… put a fork in you, you’re done for betting like a retard

I will probably never understand HU high stakes, why this kind of quizzes seems meaningless to me.

But I cant really see any good reason not to just fold this one.

If you are going to fold for a bet what in the world were you doing calling the flop raise? Donating to his kids college fund?

The decision of whether to go with this hand or not was made on the flop. Should have raised or folded then. Calling the raise was horrible unless you planned on going with it. And since the turn was a decent card, you are stuck raising or making two more calls here. (Unless you are trying to send his kids to a good U.)

>> What actually happened: OneUponAStar shoved and I Win Flips called, showing 76 for trips. No 7 on the river and I Win took down the pot.

So he lost $14K on a single hand. Even if I was a millionaire that’s a lot of money.

@#$@ man how on earth can people play high stakes and not have a friggin heart attack every 5 seconds??

this is the internet and he thinks hes daniel negreanu… hes likely to be holding a 6 in his hand from the way he check raised you on the flop and made that sketchy bet on the turn where it looks like hes begging for a reraise…. i would fold this one simply out of experience

everyone seems to be right on except OPI, who seems to have become committed after putting 2k in this pot.

we all think this was the wrong way to play PF and Flop, but theres no reason we cant get away from this.

fold.