Daily Hand Quiz

I agree with the staff here. Push 80%.
The fact that the blinds are rather low here calls for a push. Pushing any two would probably be wise, but I am superstistious. So I fold 72o and the like.
NO BUBBLE PLAY!!! Play to win.

Two pieces of info would be nice though:
1)
The current payout – a 1200$ jump is relative
2)
“What actually happened” doesnt say what was folded.
The fact that SB shoved migth make you glad you didn’t push junk. But SB is pushing at least top 50% here, would probably only call you with top 25%-. Furthermore there were no telling.

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Shove any two and pray they fold.

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The fact that the blinds just passed me by allowed me to go with 80% instead of any 2.

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I can’t imagine that the blinds are calling north of 10% here, and even 10% might be a bit generous. The blinds are trying to hang on for a bubble just the same as we are, so I would doubt that either one would make a call with a weak A or middling pair or something like that – if we get called, I would imagine we’re looking at AA, KK, et. al.

We have an M of about 2.5 on the button, with super-tight players who can be crippled by calling, and first-in vigorish if we so choose. Our best chance of getting past the bubble is pushing any 2 here, IMHO. That will put us at 770k, with enough ammo to put a dent in most of the players at the table and give us a better shot (albeit a small one still) at moving up the ladder even more. We would be more selective if the blinds had larger stacks (or even completely minuscule stacks), but I can’t think of a better position to push ATC. I cover up the screen with my hand and let it rip, since I’m too much of a pansy to actually push if I see something like 74o.

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I also voted “any two.” I like Rondleman’s suggestion to cover up the screen so you don’t get scared off by the weakness of your own two cards. That approach works in real-life play too — don’t even bother looking at your cards, just say “all in.” The other players won’t realize you haven’t sneaked a peek at your cards. Or you can even announce “all in in the dark” if you want, that’s an interesting ploy.

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Any two. Why go with “top 80%?” If, as the commentary says, you think that the bottom of the calling range is QJ, what does it matter if you go all-in with junk like 63o or something “better” like 96s. Heck, you’re more likely to be dominated with mediocre holdings than pure junk.

Our stack is pitiful. We have just been given the gift of everyone folding, with 2 players to go. This is a “great spot”, as they say, regardless of what rags you’re holding. If the same situation were to come up in the same hand, your standards have to come up quite a bit as you’ll have more players to get through, and the BB will always have enough chips to call you with something fairly strong.

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I don’t understand suggesting 80% but not ATC at all, here. I mean, if you are saying 80%, name the worst hand that you are going to push with. Given the range one of the blinds will call with, are you really going to be that much better shape with the low end of the top 80% than you would be with 72o?

I used the “X%” comparison of the propokertools (google it) odds caluclator, and ran 15% vs. 80%, and then 15% vs. 100%.

15%: 64.1%
80%: 35.9%

15%: 65.84%
100%: 34.16%

Your equity against a top 15% hand is almost identical with 100% of hands as it is with 80%. You can mess around with the 15% here if you think the blinds will call with a different range, but the difference between your equity with 80% and 100% is so small that it is silly to suggest that folding the bottom 20% but pushing the top 80% is correct. The goal here is to take the pot down without a call, and if someone does have a hand with which to call you, you are negligibly worse off with the bottom 20% of hands.

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