May 17, 2012

Daily Hand Quiz

Thanks to HighStakesReport for the hand history.

Game type: 200/400 No Limit cash on Full Tilt Poker
Your image: Just a little quiet
Opponent’s image: Very aggressive, a top online cash pro
Your hand: A♦A♥

This hand is taken from actual game play at the 200/400 NL holdem table at Full Tilt. This hand took place between Ozzy 87 and Genius28. You’ll be standing in for Genius28

The setup: You’ve doubled up in this cash game, but it was in a set over set confrontation with a player who has left the table. This hand, you’re dealt aces.

Preflop, UTG folds and you make it $1,200 to go. Ozzie calls and the BB drops. The flop comes paired:

2♠7♠7♥

Ozzie checks and you lead for $2,200 into $2,800. Ozzie checkraises you to $6,800. You think for a long time and repop it to $17,755.

Ozzie lets his bank runs down and requests time. With only a few seconds left, he shoves for for $40,040 total.

It’s a bit over 22k to you and there’s a little under 60k in the middle. You haven’t had any confrontations with Ozzie this session, but you two have tangled in the past. You haven’t seen this pattern of betting from Ozzie recently. What’s your play?


12 COMMENTS  (Jump to comment form)

Joe


I think call here. The only thing that worries me is the checkraise. I actually like our net here because it seems like a continuation bet and probably what ozzie is thinking. Worst case here we up against a flush draw who has put us on Ak or something or a smaller pair that again puts us on over cards. If he has a hand like A7s ill pay him off here ill still have 1 out. So won’t be completely dead :) .

[Reply]

Ally


Obviously a tough decision for a shitload of cash. But, I voted to call. While it’s possible we’re up against a 7 and drawing to two outs, there are also enough hands that we’re ahead of or crushing to make the call here. We could easily be playing against a slowplayed big pair (KK/QQ/JJ), a smaller pair, or air. This would be a good flop for Ozzy to checkraise with air here since it’s not likely that we’re holding a 7, especially if we’re “a little quiet”. If we’re holding a standard raising hand (two broadway and up and any pp), there are a lot of hands that we’re going to release to the check/raise. Hell, KJo is drawing almost dead (needing running kings or jacks) against any random 7 that Ozzy could hold. So, a good flop to checkraise with air.

Our 3-bet represents a ton of strength, but would we 3-bet with our own 7? Ozzy is aggressive and we could expect him to fire the turn. I don’t think Ozzy puts us on a 7 so that gives him an opportunity to make a move here with an extreme show of strength. No one likes to go broke with a single pair and what possible hand could we have that we like enough to put in our stack? a 7 or 22. And, if we held 22, we’re probably going to slow down and most likely if we held a 7 we’re going to slow down. He can represent a monster here.

I call and if he’s got what he’s representing, good for him. But, I think we’re good enough here to call. For whatever it’s worth, he could easily make this play with KK/QQ/JJ as well, although he most likely would have 3-bet preflop.

[Reply]

Rondleman


Definite call. Against a weak player, I almost definitely fold, knowing that I’m probably up against the 7. Against a top online pro, however, who has tons of hands in his range here, I would have to call. Any pair is a good possibility for him, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a high Ax (AK – AJ) flush draw either.

[Reply]

abetter spot


I definitely call. Because we acted first and he only called our raise, he doesn’t know the strength of our hand, versus if he had acted first with a raise, and we had repopped him preflop, he might be more likely to think of us with higher pp. Given we are at a very high stakes shorthanded table with tricky aggressive professionals, I call. The 7 can be in his range (although he might have played it slower), but so can a pp as well as any spade flush draw. On balance, when you have played at (and or regularly seen the plays made at these high $, top pro tables, the range is wide enough that calling with the highest PP possible is +EV.

[Reply]

onlinepokerincome.com


It helps to take two zeros off the money involved when making your decision to make the right one

Is this a great country or what? Players can rise through the ranks to this crazy level – and after a bad night go back to the bottom and start over again!

[Reply]

philes


I vote with Amy. Every word.

[Reply]

Zot95


Call. Really easy decision. As always when it’s an all-in situation, let’s look at the pot odds. You have to call $23k into a $61k pot (give or take). That means you if you call you have to win 30% (actually a few points less) to make this +EV. I think you’re there easily.

Yes, if he has a 7 you are basically drawing dead. On the other hand, if he has a lower pocket pair, he’s basically drawing dead. And if he’s on a flush draw, you’re still about a 2 to 1 favorite, due to our full house redraw. All told, I think our equity is over 30% here… heck it’s probably closer to 50%.

[Reply]

torneo de poker gratis


correspondence decks Aida?apish floorings!intestines .

[Reply]

no_donkey


I refuse to take part in this thread since Jeremy Fischer didn’t post at 12am.

[Reply]

Matt Harrell


One thing about this situation is if you are beat he woulda of slow played longer.If i had a 7 i prolly would of let a face card hit before betting my 7s. He didn’t do that. My aces are the nutz if he doesn’t slow play. Hez tryna be safe by this monster bet. CALL CALL CALL.

[Reply]

Bob


Once we 3bet we set ourselves up to call a 4bet push.

This then becomes a call………

[Reply]

sakalaka


what about the 22? he called the preflop raise and he has 1 out of 8 to take a lot of your money. probably i wouldnt have called with a 22 but after that i would have played the hand like ozzy.

[Reply]

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