
Game type: Major tournament at PokerStars
Stage of tourney: Deep in the money with 34 players remaining, no close bubble
Avg stack: ~2 million
Your image: A little tight
Opponent’s image: Tilting maniac
Your hand: K♣J♣
The setup: You’re deep in the money of a large online tournament when the following hand comes up. You’re sitting on an average stack and you’re dealt a suited KJ. The first two players fold and then the next players shoves. This player has shoved the last three hands and is likely on tilt, having lost a huge chunk of his stack a few hands ago when his AA was cracked by a badly overplayed 33.
Two more players fold and now it’s to you in the CO. Three players are still to act behind you. What’s your play?
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I voted folded. KJ is a “meh” hand to risk my tourney on.
If you want to play it, you have to reraise all-in to isolate and hope one of the 3 behind you hasn’t woke up with a monster.
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Copy matt tag. Fold this as you are possibly behind or crushed and it’s for a significant chunk of your stack and there are others behind which could wake up with a monster.
If you do play here, you’ve got to shove to hopefully isolate and be heads up with this guy.
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Toss a coin and choose between pushing and folding?
I believe that his odds goes as follows:
1. He is bluffing 50% of the time (giving me a 70% change to win)
2. He might have an actual hand 10% of the time (30% win)
3. Say we have 40% to a tie (50% win)
So the math goes 35% + 3% + 20% = 58%
If this analysis is ok, an all in seems obious where I alone against Tilty yet there are 3 people left.
But then I also have only 10 times 80% the pot, so agression is necessary or else I might soon be blinded away.
All in.
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The big blind has you covered so rasing all-in is a bad option.
The pushers stack is still a little too big for a call – if he was down to under $700K I’d be more inclined to take a chance on it.
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At best you are probably in a coin flip situation, if, and only if you are successful in isolating the raiser, which will require a shove yourself with the hope that none of the players sandwiched between you and the raiser have picked up a strong hand. Simply too many “if’s”, you are not yet short stacked and therefore have options. You have virtually nothing committed to the pot currently so fold and look for a better opportunity.
You actually shove, isolating the raiser who shows you 10/2 off suit. The flop comes K 7 9 with 2 clubs. The turn and river bring consecutive non-club 2′s giving him 3 of a kind. He takes down the pot and passes the “Tilty Torch” to you. Sorry Mr. Harrington, I couldn’t resist!
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I probably tend to be too aggressive in these situations, but I’d lay this one down. If you lose this, you aren’t out, but you’re not in a good way… you’re reduced to all-in or fold and will need to make a move in the next orbit or so.
If I were last to act, I might call… not too sure, but it’d be a close decision for me. The tipping factor here is the three players left to act that might have some cards. Keeping in mind that thinking players will probably put you on a wider range as well (reacting to the tilt monster).
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bucks transportation bandstand housed startles batch shamelessly?
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May as well fold since you know the all in jerk is going to kill you in the river…
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That’s pretty much like Harrigton.. He always tell you what to do and then he tells you how you got screwed in the end
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