Daily Hand Quiz

Standard raise here. I’d rather see what the other players do/try here and maybe see a flop before committing all of my chips.

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I want the BB’s chips and I think I can get them easier if I push. Plus, I don’t want someone taking a shot at me just because they think I can be pushed off the hand, so I’m taking that play away from them,

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putting 1/3 of your chips in the pot preflop is silly unless
you have KK or AA. You will be potcommitted.
You will have to make a contiuation bet for the rest of your chips postflop, and the others will know. They will know that they are calling 200-300 to win the rest of your stack if they hit.

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I am calling and decided after the pot has been narrowed. First to act, I am never going to risk my tournament with AJ.
First to act, if I have an aggressive image, My call would fold the weaklings anyway, and I could perhaps measure what kind of competition is interested. I think I’m gonna lose 10% of my stack here because I’m folding to any kind of resistenace, but I could get a good read from someone who raises but takes too much time when faced with the decision, I would go all-in over the top if I sensed the opportunity, I would throw away the 10% to almost anyone who pushed me.

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In my opinion, pushling all-in here would be a incredibly stupid play. You’ll only get called with better hands, and you’d need to take down the pot pre-flop more than 6 times to make this a +EV play… that’s not happening. This is either a call or fold, raising and pushing all-in aren’t options.

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I don’t like raise to 300 all in or folding. I agree with Mary and I’m just limping here. I’d like to see a flop or be isolated against the BB if he reraises all in. I think thats the only bet I’d call unless any of the other players are very loose and agressive or you have a read on them. This is a hand I wanna see a flop with and since I lost the last hand players may think I’m steaming and be more willing to play with me. This is ideal for a drawing hand like AJs especially if the flop hits you with a flush or a straight or top two pair.

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if your hand were a little stronger i wouldnt hate a weak raise, but with something this weak a push is about your only option.
you just arn’t reasonably going to trap many weaker hands into trying to raise you off your raise if they think you are tilting.
A limp-raise might work, but you can’t really afford to take flops and fold.

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I would estimate that you will pick up the blinds ($150) around 70% of the time with a push. So thats a profit of 0.7 x $150 = $105. Say someone will call with a stronger hand around 20% of the time, and will have you beat by the river around 80% of the time that happens, so thats a loss of 0.2 x 0.8 x -$950 = -$152, plus a profit of 0.2 x 0.2 x $1100 = $44 for the times you get lucky and beat them. Someone will call with a weaker hand around 10% of the time, and will have you beat by the river around 20% of the time, so thats a profit of 0.1 x 0.8 x $1100 = $88, minus a loss of 0.1 x 0.2 x -$950 = -$19 for the times you get unlucky. Total profit = $105 – $152 + $44 + $88 – $19 = $66.

Call/folding will lose you $100 around 70% of the time – 50% of the time when the flop misses your hand and someone else bets, and 20% of the time when someone plays back hard pre-flop and you fold. Assuming you make it to the flop and it hits your hand, you’ll probably win an average of $500 around 90% of the time, and lose your balance around 10% of the time. So call/folding yields a net profit of 0.7 x -$100 + 0.3 x ( ( $500 x 0.9 ) – ( $950 x 0.1) ) = $37.

The numbers appear to point to a push, does anyone agree?

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