
Game type: Major online tournament
Stage of tourney: 25 left of 7000, next money jump of $1400 at 19
Avg stack: 2.8M
Your image: TAG
Opponent’s image: Aggressive but very solid
Your hand: 7♠7♥
The setup: You opponent has been aggressive with his stack, but has shown down pretty strong hands and seems to have a solid game. Here they make a standard raise to 390k. What’s your play on the cutoff with sevens?
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This is a pretty clear fold for me. My stack is short but it isn’t completely desperate quite yet, and I can certainly find a better spot than this to get my money in with.
I’m almost certainly getting called by the original raiser (not to mention the four people yet to act), and I think I’m racing at best. Simply don’t feel a need to stake my tournament on a hand and a situation like this quite yet.
There’s a good chance I can make it to the next money jump without taking a big stand, so there’s another point in favor of letting it go.
I fold 8s here as well. 9s, I’ll start to think about it – I really think I’m only happy shoving 10s or better in this spot.
[Reply]
whoops. 3 people yet to act. still doesn’t change the decision all that much.
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since the raise has been made from a early posistion is actually giving away the strength of the raisers hand, at this stage of a tourney with chips he has there is no need to make big bets with no hand, easy fold for me unless u really want to gamble and gather chips but waiting closer to the bubble may b a better time to try and accumulate by taking advantage of players resistance to going out.
[Reply]
Oh, I’ll call and see a flop. If Player D was on the rocky side, I’d probably fold. But he’s obviously playing big-stack poker and wants to get rid of as many players as he can pre-flop and it won’t cost him much if someone pushes back and he has to fold. Come on 7!…Come on 7!!!….
[Reply]
Our M is under 4 – pretty desperate, but I want to be the original shover and not shoving to a raise (as staff said, fold equity).
I would gladly shove 77 at this point in the tourney to open the pot, but I think there’s still time left. Not much though!
[Reply]
I voted fold as well, with the DHQ argument correct as well as what was mentioned by the other folders. I much prefer to be the original raiser, and I would push these from any position at this stage with my M. But calling is not at all correct, and raising will very likely get called by the big stack with approx 1.5 to one odds. Our chance of being way ahead (i.e. he has a PP smaller than 7s) is very low, so this will be a race at best.
Fold and shove the appropriate hands when it folds to you on a subsequent hand (any ace, any pair, any two broadways, with narrower version of this range if in EP and looser version if in LP).
Fairly good hands are not that good at these stages in a tourney if you have no fold equity. Pushing Q9 from your cutoff position in an unopened pot is far better than calling with the 77 here.
[Reply]
Fold for reasons stated. No fold equity. At best racing. Other players yet to act.
Calling is worst option (no offense). I’m not going to work out the math, but there is about a 100% chance of overcards to your hand on the flop so you’ll need a 7 to like your spot. Well, you’re really not getting anywhere near the right odds to set mine here.
If the pot had not been opened here, I think this is a pretty clear shove, but not in this spot.
[Reply]
easy fold, no folding equity, only reasonable hands that I can truly beat is 66 or 55
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I agree with everyone (except john B).
If only the pot had not been raised, but it has.
And before he made that raise, being an able cardplayer, the villain must have decided that he would have to call a push from most of the shortstacks yet to act.
[Reply]
I think matt says it the best. You _are_ pretty desperate. You’d really like to make a move by the end of this orbit. And you had better make a move by the end of the next orbit. I think it’s a fairly close decision (I wouldn’t criticize an all-in here). You do want to be first in. As has been stated, you’re either flipping, or you’re crushed. The blinds and antes are seeding the pot to make this profitable if you were pretty sure this was a coin flip… but of course you’re not. I’m also not thrilled about the 3 remaining players who might look for a shot to triple up.
[Reply]
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